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The Economist News
Top stories
Online News Surpasses Traditional Media in Ireland, 39% Actively Avoid News
Authors
7
13 days
Economics
Business
China Surpasses US in Scientific Output, Becomes Scientific Superpower
Authors
6
14 days
China
Economics
World
The Economist Analysis Shows Bias Against Conservative Authors on NYT Bestseller List
Authors
19
17 days
Economics
Business
Prediction markets for The Economist
Prediction markets for The Economist
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Feb 20, 10:31 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
27.02%
chance
269
30459
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2731
2404
Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?
Jun 20, 10:38 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
35.9%
chance
13
932
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1336
748
Will Michele Boldrin (Italian economist & professor) partecipate at the next elections in Italy?
Apr 15, 5:50 PM
Oct 21, 10:59 PM
20.56%
chance
11
304
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1090
961
Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?
Oct 29, 5:04 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
20.73%
chance
29
2048
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1755
675
The Economist’s Country of the Year for 2024:
Jan 3, 2:16 PM
Dec 20, 10:59 PM
11
267
Which party will the Economist endorse in the 2024 United States presidential election?
Mar 9, 5:42 PM
Nov 5, 11:59 PM
15
543
The Economist "Which countries did best in 2024" results megamarket (MC UL, 71 in total)
Dec 18, 7:05 PM
Dec 16, 6:59 AM
6
1278
Will any top economist author or coauthor a paper on the journal Seeds of Science?
Aug 6, 7:16 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25.84%
chance
4
83
Option
Votes
YES
NO
207
86
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Myanmar be in 2024?
May 8, 2:36 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2
400
What will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
Nov 26, 6:26 AM
Dec 31, 7:59 PM
21.9%
chance
4
217
Option
Votes
YES
NO
455
285
Will China meet or exceed its 5% GDP growth target this year? (according to The Economist data)
Mar 5, 11:50 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
41.19%
chance
9
176
Option
Votes
YES
NO
286
229
What will The Economist Democracy Index of Myanmar be in 2025?
May 8, 2:37 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2
200
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