The Double News

Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

4.86%chance

4523097

OptionVotes

YES

28123

7989

Six months after The Pivot, will Manifold double its daily active users?

Apr 4, 5:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

32.91%chance

8141744

OptionVotes

YES

1897

1798

Within 2 months of Manifold adding cash prizes, the number of daily active users will more than double.

Apr 27, 5:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.8%chance

361688

OptionVotes

YES

1016

877

When will be the first year that GDP doubles (i.e., a period of 12 months in which there is 100% growth of global GDP)?

Aug 13, 5:03 PMAug 13, 9:59 PM

53%chance

13322

OptionVotes

YES

1036

956

Will a Superbowl Game go to Double Overtime before the end of the 2030 Superbowl?

Feb 12, 3:07 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

16.54%chance

16606

OptionVotes

YES

1253

924

Will Tadej Pojacar pull off the Giro-Tour double?

Apr 26, 9:14 PMJul 22, 6:59 AM

64.8%chance

192976

OptionVotes

YES

1438

641

Will any rider win the Giro-Tour Double in 2024?

Apr 16, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.82%chance

193598

OptionVotes

YES

1424

626

Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?

Jan 2, 10:55 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

14.53%chance

282402

OptionVotes

YES

1113

953

Will humans make breakthroughs, that would at minimum double the lifespan of a willing 30yo with high resources?

Dec 13, 3:44 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

13%chance

13426

OptionVotes

YES

1189

941

Will the World's GDP double in 5 years?

Aug 28, 8:17 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

7.5%chance

434025

OptionVotes

YES

1329

937

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world

Apr 8, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.61%chance

581

OptionVotes

YES

905

859

Will the next Australian federal election be a double dissolution election?

Jun 5, 7:16 AMMar 30, 12:30 PM

14.04%chance

7435

OptionVotes

YES

293

102

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The Double News

Prediction markets for The Double

Prediction markets for The Double

Prediction markets for The Double

Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Six months after The Pivot, will Manifold double its daily active users?

Within 2 months of Manifold adding cash prizes, the number of daily active users will more than double.

When will be the first year that GDP doubles (i.e., a period of 12 months in which there is 100% growth of global GDP)?

Will a Superbowl Game go to Double Overtime before the end of the 2030 Superbowl?

Will Tadej Pojacar pull off the Giro-Tour double?

Will any rider win the Giro-Tour Double in 2024?

Will the World's GDP double in 10 years?

Will humans make breakthroughs, that would at minimum double the lifespan of a willing 30yo with high resources?

Will the World's GDP double in 5 years?

Will there be a complete 4 year interval in which world output doubles, before the first 1 year interval in which world

Will the next Australian federal election be a double dissolution election?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for The Double

Prediction markets for The Double

Prediction markets for The Double

Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?

Six months after The Pivot, will Manifold double its daily active users?

Within 2 months of Manifold adding cash prizes, the number of daily active users will more than double.

When will be the first year that GDP doubles (i.e., a period of 12 months in which there is 100% growth of global GDP)?

Will a Superbowl Game go to Double Overtime before the end of the 2030 Superbowl?

Will Tadej Pojacar pull off the Giro-Tour double?

Will any rider win the Giro-Tour Double in 2024?