The Creator News

Will the Manifold Creator Partner Program be seen as unsuccessful by EOY 2024?

Feb 28, 6:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.08%chance

484004

OptionVotes

YES

2086

1831

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Oct 3, 10:01 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

49.28%chance

714986

OptionVotes

YES

1680

1317

Will Manifold either disallow taking orders via the API on sports questions, or enable creators to disallow that?

Dec 2, 2:09 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

27.44%chance

312146

OptionVotes

YES

1363

1038

Will Manifold hire a professional market creator by the end of 2025?

Sep 1, 1:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.13%chance

13345

OptionVotes

YES

1038

977

Will Ammon Lam (@AmmonLam) be the Top Creator before 2025?

Feb 6, 9:49 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

31.59%chance

13694

OptionVotes

YES

1042

972

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Dec 15, 1:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.49%chance

12146

OptionVotes

YES

1054

966

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Mar 3, 5:23 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.54%chance

14859

OptionVotes

YES

1137

921

Will 50%+ of the Top Creators on the Manifold leaderboard by end of 2025 have 20K or more followers on their Twitter accounts?

Jan 26, 3:44 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.01%chance

10167

OptionVotes

YES

1099

957

Will Skibidi Toilet reach 100 full episodes (by the creator's numbering) by EOY 2024?

Dec 24, 7:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.77%chance

16671

OptionVotes

YES

1439

842

Will Manifold visually distinguish markets where the creator has/has not traded (in 2024)

Jan 1, 3:30 AMDec 31, 7:47 PM

29.54%chance

182887

OptionVotes

YES

1430

721

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before @Conflux is on the "Top creators" one?

Apr 23, 8:39 PMSep 28, 6:59 AM

41.04%chance

333883

OptionVotes

YES

1058

900

Will the creator of this market (me) be here to resolve it on December 31st 2025?

Dec 24, 11:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

77.97%chance

15799

OptionVotes

YES

1729

658

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The Creator News

Prediction markets for The Creator

Prediction markets for The Creator

Prediction markets for The Creator

Will the Manifold Creator Partner Program be seen as unsuccessful by EOY 2024?

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will Manifold either disallow taking orders via the API on sports questions, or enable creators to disallow that?

Will Manifold hire a professional market creator by the end of 2025?

Will Ammon Lam (@AmmonLam) be the Top Creator before 2025?

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?

Will 50%+ of the Top Creators on the Manifold leaderboard by end of 2025 have 20K or more followers on their Twitter accounts?

Will Skibidi Toilet reach 100 full episodes (by the creator's numbering) by EOY 2024?

Will Manifold visually distinguish markets where the creator has/has not traded (in 2024)

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before @Conflux is on the "Top creators" one?

Will the creator of this market (me) be here to resolve it on December 31st 2025?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for The Creator

Prediction markets for The Creator

Prediction markets for The Creator

Will the Manifold Creator Partner Program be seen as unsuccessful by EOY 2024?

Will the creators of any iteration of AlphaFold win a Nobel Prize before 2030?

Will Manifold either disallow taking orders via the API on sports questions, or enable creators to disallow that?

Will Manifold hire a professional market creator by the end of 2025?

Will Ammon Lam (@AmmonLam) be the Top Creator before 2025?

If a market creator who is well-known in the real world resolves a market in a way that they believe to be correct, but Manifold admins believe to be incorrect, will they treat that market differently from the markets of non-famous users?

Will I be on the "Top traders" leaderboard before the "Top creators" one?