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Prediction markets for the Commonwealth
Prediction markets for the Commonwealth
What will be the next country to join the Commonwealth of Nations?
Feb 20, 1:26 PM
Jan 1, 12:00 PM
5
176
Will any country successfully join the Commonwealth before 2030?
May 8, 11:42 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
42%
chance
8
253
Option
Votes
YES
NO
181
158
Will the 2026 Commonwealth Games go ahead?
Jul 20, 1:16 AM
Mar 16, 12:00 PM
58.67%
chance
8
48
Option
Votes
NO
YES
196
184
Will Commonwealth Fusion demonstrate breakeven in a fusion reactor before the end of 2025?
Feb 27, 5:39 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
8.37%
chance
9
385
Option
Votes
YES
NO
456
131
Which country will host the 2026 Commonwealth Games?
Mar 23, 12:46 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
4
82
Will any country leave the Commonwealth before 2030?
May 8, 11:47 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
79.83%
chance
7
126
Option
Votes
NO
YES
183
104
What will be true about 2024's Time Person of the Year?
Dec 11, 1:36 PM
Dec 19, 4:59 AM
33
4290
What will be the next fusion project to reach Q=1 scientific breakeven?
Feb 27, 6:28 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8
800
Will there still be at least nine Commonwealth Realms in 2028?
May 8, 12:07 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
75.32%
chance
11
201
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1027
981
Will any Commonwealth countries become republics during 2024 or 2025?
Nov 26, 2:08 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
21.84%
chance
12
232
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1063
970
Will Commonwealth Fusion Systems (CFS) will demonstrate net energy gain (Q>1) in their SPARC reactor before 12/31/2025?
Aug 10, 1:47 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
16.44%
chance
11
3016
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1740
771
Will Commonwealth Fusion System's SPARC fusion reactor achieve "commercially relevant net energy from fusion" by Jan 1st, 2026?
Jan 25, 12:12 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
12.24%
chance
25
4645
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1967
764
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4
5 months
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