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The Claw News
Prediction markets for The Claw
Prediction markets for The Claw
Will >5% of >2 FTX political donations received before the 90-day bankruptcy period be clawed back?
Mar 5, 3:57 PM
Jan 1, 12:00 AM
26%
chance
9
295
Option
Votes
YES
NO
252
156
Will any of Greg Becker's proceeds from stock sales be clawed back by the end of 2024?
Mar 16, 9:56 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
56%
chance
2
13
Option
Votes
NO
YES
76
64
What is the FAIREST rule about clawing back FTX money from the charities that the FTX Future Fund gave to?
Jun 18, 5:12 PM
8
0
What will happen with the controversial Polymarket about Barron Trump's involvement with $DJT?
Jun 26, 7:48 PM
Jul 14, 6:59 AM
12
11700
What is worse than committing a financial crime?
May 15, 5:46 AM
Jul 5, 6:00 PM
156
37525
Will >5% of an FTX grant be clawed back, from >2 individual workers, by end of 2026?
Nov 14, 3:10 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
81.2%
chance
150
86287
Option
Votes
NO
YES
7353
1128
What % of FTX money will be clawed back from grantees, resolves to my best guess?
Jan 12, 6:43 PM
Mar 19, 5:43 PM
20.4%
chance
11
678
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1099
958
Will >5% of an FTX-implicated political donation be clawed back, from >2 politicians or political campaigns, by end of 2026?
Nov 26, 9:16 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
61.35%
chance
49
9506
Option
Votes
NO
YES
854
678
How many arcs will wildbow's Claw have?
Mar 12, 4:46 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7
504
Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Nov 14, 3:03 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
63.61%
chance
74
5724
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2141
900
Will the recipients of naming rights money for the FTX Arena receive a demand to give their money back (e.g. to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?
Dec 19, 12:36 AM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
76%
chance
9
1954
Option
Votes
NO
YES
200
172
Is "Committing a financial crime that's 10 times as big, but donating the..." worse than committing a financial crime?
Jun 22, 12:15 AM
Jul 6, 4:59 AM
9
0
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6 months
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