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Prediction markets for The Class

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

Jan 17, 4:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.46%chance

705493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6274

6067

Will the Harvard class of 2028 have <15% African American students?

Jun 29, 11:13 PMAug 16, 6:59 AM

67.26%chance

775508

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1159

1148

Will Filippo Ganna win another UCI World Championship Time Trial title (in the men's elite class)?

Sep 5, 1:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

67.69%chance

10137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1028

981

Will the class action lawsuit against Dunkin Donuts for charging extra for nondairy milk be successful?

Feb 12, 3:13 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.47%chance

13489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

944

Will the USA top 1% total common wealth become less than all the wealth in the Middle Class again at the end of 2024?

Dec 19, 7:51 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

18.17%chance

22892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1168

942

Will a robot be capable of sculpting marble at the level of world-class sculptors before 2040?

Apr 21, 9:09 AMJan 1, 8:01 AM

60.01%chance

10242

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

993

Will any top 50 US university replace the essay with a video format for admitting the high school class of 2025?

Sep 3, 3:44 PMAug 2, 6:59 AM

17.87%chance

141836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

999

880

Will "Notifications Received in 30 Minutes of Class" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 27, 4:42 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

28.07%chance

3180

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

471

Will a new class of high-temperature superconductors be discovered within the next five years?

Aug 21, 9:26 PMAug 29, 3:59 AM

10%chance

11758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1280

937

What will be the racial/ethnic makeup of the Ivy League class of 2028 following the affirmative action ban?

Mar 18, 3:41 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

13846

Will the US Navy commission more than five Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?

Sep 30, 1:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

47.39%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

Will Taiwan commission two Hai Kun-class submarines by the end of 2027?

Sep 30, 2:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

61.41%chance

217

OptionVotes

NO

YES

63

40

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Latest stories

Laurent Cantet, Palme d'Or Winner and 'ENZO' Director, Dies at 63
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10
2 months
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