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The Circuit News
Prediction markets for The Circuit
Prediction markets for The Circuit
Will the Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals Side With HISA in its pending decision?
Oct 15, 5:53 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
65.19%
chance
45
1543
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1518
595
Will a generative Al media company be investigated for its misuse during in the 2024 US election circuit? (SoAIR'23)
Oct 16, 2:51 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
72.65%
chance
21
699
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1128
926
Will "Explaining grokking through circuit efficiency" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Jun 28, 12:09 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1000
1000
Who will be elected Oregon Judge of the Circuit Court, 1st District, Position 9?
Jan 29, 9:05 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
3
141
Who will be elected Oregon Judge of the Circuit Court, 3rd District, Position 11?
Jan 29, 9:09 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
3
328
Will a generative AI media company be investigated for its misuse during the 2024 US election circuit?
Oct 13, 8:39 PM
Oct 2, 3:59 AM
49.89%
chance
4
23
Option
Votes
YES
NO
95
85
Who will be elected Oregon Judge of the Circuit Court, 20th District, Position 6?
Feb 5, 2:42 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
2
140
Who will be elected Oregon Judge of the Circuit Court, 10th District, Position 2?
Feb 5, 2:39 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
2
140
Who will be elected Oregon Judge of the Circuit Court, 6th District, Position 5?
Jan 29, 9:12 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
3
165
🤖 Which 5 AI advancements in 2024 will be the most important? [Free response]
Feb 17, 4:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
70
5100
🆕What will be true about the next product from Prong.studio?
May 9, 5:26 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
27
2576
In 2025, category distribution for solved problems from the 200 Concrete Open Problems in Mechanistic Interpretability?
Jul 21, 2:18 AM
Jan 1, 5:32 PM
6
296
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