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Prediction markets for The Chi

Will a commercial non-stop flight between Los Angeles and Ho Chi Minh City exist before the end of 2027?

Nov 4, 3:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

24.83%chance

237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

87

29

Will Vietnam approve the construction of a Hanoi to Ho Chi Minh City high-speed rail project before 2035?

Apr 17, 11:19 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

72.8%chance

682

OptionVotes

NO

YES

146

55

Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?

May 9, 3:45 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.89%chance

214144248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

109617

50724

Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?

May 24, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33%chance

613252626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

16076

11792

Will Elon Musk get a chip implanted in his brain before he passes away?

Jan 30, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

52.11%chance

824914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10381

9538

If China invades Taiwan, will they succeed?

Nov 12, 2:34 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

49.74%chance

22664079

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2239

1473

Will the Sohu AI chip ship to customers within a year?

Jul 1, 6:05 AMJun 25, 6:59 AM

47.41%chance

152815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11830

7842

Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by the end of 2027?

Oct 5, 1:22 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.65%chance

36377468

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3333

2049

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.59%chance

124930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5204

3441

Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.32%chance

178405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6331

3305

Which company’s chips will GPT-6 be trained on?

Jun 8, 7:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7315183

Who will appear in "Avengers: Secret Wars"?

Mar 25, 10:17 AMMay 7, 11:59 AM

451546

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