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The Big Short News
Prediction markets for The Big Short
Prediction markets for The Big Short
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
289835
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PM
Dec 18, 2:59 PM
62.07%
chance
17
243
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1139
891
Keli Stock
Apr 10, 7:23 AM
141
35780
Option
Votes
NO
YES
976
867
Will a major non-documentary film that is critical of China be released in the US before 2030?
Nov 8, 5:02 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
70.05%
chance
9
249
Option
Votes
NO
YES
267
176
Which of Baba Vanga’s (Bulgarian mystic) 2024 predictions will come true?
Nov 8, 4:04 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
14
610
Covid Origins MegaMarket - lots of unlinked binary questions about the steps on the way, varying lengths
Dec 25, 7:05 AM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
13
2065
Which (if any) "big tech" companies will "open source" their AI models in 2024?
Jan 15, 2:51 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
37
2423
Irene Coin
Apr 10, 9:44 AM
1
199
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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