Text News

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

May 25, 12:30 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

36.81%chance

81118

OptionVotes

YES

4069

3096

Will an AI be able to create a website via text prompt by end of 2024?

Mar 19, 7:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.41%chance

16345413

OptionVotes

YES

2815

327

Would keyboards still be the primary way of text inputs to a computer for a majority of kids in 2030?

Nov 21, 11:29 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

81.28%chance

381444

OptionVotes

YES

1180

940

A new image generation system comes out which has accurate text generation, and interest in it surpasses Stable diffusion and Midjourney

Jan 17, 10:03 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

70%chance

251900

OptionVotes

YES

989

951

Will more people interact with AI via voice than via text at the end of 2027?

Jan 29, 12:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.09%chance

583768

OptionVotes

YES

1545

466

Will Ashiok, Wicked Manipulator's record be broken for most text on a recent Magic card before 2026?

Sep 30, 6:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63.96%chance

13322

OptionVotes

YES

1059

835

Will an open-source text-to-music LLM model be able to create an entire album as convincing as a human by end of 2025?

Dec 31, 3:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.52%chance

12255

OptionVotes

YES

1031

976

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Jun 8, 9:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

60.92%chance

11570

OptionVotes

YES

1249

801

By 2028, given some text, AI can output a recording that can’t be distinguished from a voice actor, by expert listeners?

Jan 5, 10:56 AMJan 12, 8:29 AM

80.05%chance

33885

OptionVotes

YES

1227

916

Is ChatGPT going to have text-to-video by end of 2024?

Jan 5, 6:24 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

70.09%chance

11199

OptionVotes

YES

1071

959

Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?

Mar 13, 3:22 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.75%chance

12296

OptionVotes

YES

1099

941

By 2028, AI can translate a text written in a newly discovered language into English as well as a team of human experts

Jan 5, 10:41 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

24.5%chance

211113

OptionVotes

YES

1177

905

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Text News

Prediction markets for Text

Prediction markets for Text

Prediction markets for Text

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

Will an AI be able to create a website via text prompt by end of 2024?

Would keyboards still be the primary way of text inputs to a computer for a majority of kids in 2030?

A new image generation system comes out which has accurate text generation, and interest in it surpasses Stable diffusion and Midjourney

Will more people interact with AI via voice than via text at the end of 2027?

Will Ashiok, Wicked Manipulator's record be broken for most text on a recent Magic card before 2026?

Will an open-source text-to-music LLM model be able to create an entire album as convincing as a human by end of 2025?

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

By 2028, given some text, AI can output a recording that can’t be distinguished from a voice actor, by expert listeners?

Is ChatGPT going to have text-to-video by end of 2024?

Will real-time text-to-video generation be viable by 2027?

By 2028, AI can translate a text written in a newly discovered language into English as well as a team of human experts

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Text

Prediction markets for Text

Prediction markets for Text

Will we have a "text to polymer-sequence-that-folds-into-a-nanomachine-with-the-requirements-from-text" AI by 2040?

Will an AI be able to create a website via text prompt by end of 2024?

Would keyboards still be the primary way of text inputs to a computer for a majority of kids in 2030?

A new image generation system comes out which has accurate text generation, and interest in it surpasses Stable diffusion and Midjourney

Will more people interact with AI via voice than via text at the end of 2027?

Will Ashiok, Wicked Manipulator's record be broken for most text on a recent Magic card before 2026?

Will an open-source text-to-music LLM model be able to create an entire album as convincing as a human by end of 2025?