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Prediction markets for Taxi Driver
Prediction markets for Taxi Driver
Will a self-driving taxi service be cheaper than an Uber ride (with a driver) to the same location on 12/31/24
Oct 13, 11:21 PM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
46.43%
chance
36
1671
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1302
548
Which of these jobs are immune to AI replacement in 2030?
Jan 17, 3:17 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
13
604
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, which films from last time will make it again?
Mar 4, 4:49 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
27
6586
🎞️If the AFI Top 100 Movie list updates again, what will the ranking order of films be?
Mar 3, 6:52 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7
874
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis by Dec 31 2024?
Jan 2, 8:52 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
85.76%
chance
22
1717
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1795
756
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in San Francisco by Dec 31 2024?
Nov 2, 4:49 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
9%
chance
33
5616
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1693
614
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in San Francisco by Sept 30 2024?
Nov 2, 4:49 PM
Oct 2, 4:59 AM
7.12%
chance
12
1234
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1596
838
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis by Dec 31 2025?
Jan 2, 8:53 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
89.54%
chance
7
418
Option
Votes
NO
YES
331
77
Will at least 10 world cities have a generally available self-driving taxi service by 2025?
Feb 13, 8:04 AM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
70.09%
chance
381
65595
Option
Votes
YES
NO
11743
6690
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
73.68%
chance
13
2914
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1075
955
Which Australian city will first have self-driving taxis?
Mar 19, 7:36 AM
Dec 31, 1:59 PM
2
216
Will Elon Musk/Tesla be denounced by a serving US politician for "destroying jobs" with self-driving cars or robots?
Apr 9, 9:58 PM
Apr 9, 10:59 PM
53.35%
chance
8
112
Option
Votes
NO
YES
155
100
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