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Supporting Performance News
Prediction markets for Supporting Performance
Prediction markets for Supporting Performance
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.98%
chance
25
6444
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7198
4144
Will Substack publications have at least 5 million paid subscribers by 2025?
Nov 20, 4:11 PM
Dec 30, 3:00 PM
50.47%
chance
13
275
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1041
945
Will a movie featuring an AI-generated actor win a major film award by the end of 2024?
May 8, 5:08 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
13.12%
chance
35
1151
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1042
969
How much karma will my LessWrong post about affective gender identity in gay men get?
Feb 12, 2:57 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
38.11%
chance
3
26
Option
Votes
NO
YES
321
292
Hyundai Ioniq 6 single pedal driving allowed by default in 2024
Feb 20, 3:31 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
32%
chance
3
26
Option
Votes
YES
NO
93
54
Will the Netherlands contribute €180 million to the Global Fund during the 2023-2025 period, as pledged in 2022?
Jan 2, 8:16 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
35.63%
chance
5
74
Option
Votes
YES
NO
366
327
Will Python's new No-GIL become officially supported before 2026?
Aug 1, 11:39 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
76.46%
chance
9
209
Option
Votes
NO
YES
261
156
Will Peru's current soccer coach, Juan Reynoso, continue to lead the national soccer team for the 2026 World Cup?
Nov 8, 6:09 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
1.51%
chance
6
1723
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1236
62
Articles
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The Color Purple Receives 19 Nominations at Black Reel Awards, Including Outstanding Film and Director
Authors
4
7 months
Culture
Anne Hathaway Nominated for Indie Spirit Award for 'EILEEN' Performance Alongside Thomasin McKenzie and Marin Ireland
Authors
11
7 months
Culture
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