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Prediction markets for Sugar
Prediction markets for Sugar
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 6:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.98%
chance
25
6444
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7198
4144
Will the FDA ban any sugar alcohols before 2030?
Jun 14, 1:06 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
45.39%
chance
1
100
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1097
912
Are sugar rushes real?
Dec 10, 12:45 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
20.48%
chance
32
1176
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1222
913
In 2030, will I believe that 10g of Stevia (the product in the packets) is healthier than 1g of refined sugar?
Aug 25, 7:15 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
22.17%
chance
17
1253
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1269
824
Will sugar be considered as unhealthy as plastic food containers by 2030?
Sep 23, 8:51 PM
Oct 1, 6:59 AM
87.56%
chance
21
703
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1095
965
Is the “It’s Sugar!” in San Francisco’s downtown a money laundering front for the Taliban?
Aug 29, 6:32 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
6.52%
chance
21
1188
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1513
910
Will Jamba juice have a keto friendly shake (fewer than 10g sugar) by EOY 2025
Dec 18, 1:38 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
61%
chance
0
13
Option
Votes
NO
YES
63
40
Will alcohol, tobacco, & sugar taxation get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 31, 6:12 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
70.09%
chance
6
96
Option
Votes
NO
YES
281
157
Will India ban sugar exports in 2024?
Aug 31, 10:37 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
27%
chance
5
90
Option
Votes
YES
NO
171
106
What will be true of the cake that manifold makes? [ADD RESPONSES]
Jun 4, 8:27 AM
Jul 4, 9:59 PM
52
4801
Which three cause areas will get the most EA funding before 2030?
Jan 13, 8:26 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
25
2339
What nootropics or other cognitive enhancements will I see a significant positive effect from if I take them?
Jan 17, 11:27 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
20
1177
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