Streets News

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?

Mar 9, 3:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.9%chance

7410062

OptionVotes

YES

1632

1394

Will there still be a bi-directional center bike lane on Valencia Street in San Francisco at the end of 2025?

May 21, 3:33 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.77%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

1194

838

Will IKEA announce the closure of its SF market street location before Jan 1, 2025.

Sep 27, 10:26 PMJan 3, 7:59 AM

26%chance

10420

OptionVotes

YES

1145

916

Will there be a Wall Street Stock Market Crash before 2027?

Nov 6, 11:11 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

48.77%chance

11352

OptionVotes

YES

1035

959

Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?

Mar 30, 9:35 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

47.76%chance

13168

OptionVotes

YES

1022

969

Will Sesame Street end before a human walks on Mars?

Dec 26, 4:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.54%chance

29612

OptionVotes

YES

1221

875

Will NYC close an entire street to cars before 2050?

May 22, 8:25 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

80.38%chance

81070

OptionVotes

YES

2024

494

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.91%chance

13377

OptionVotes

YES

1255

924

Will Dall-E type technologies destroy demand for itinerant street art sellers in Peru as proxy for Latam before end of 2024?

Jan 6, 2:33 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.37%chance

11330

OptionVotes

YES

1226

948

Effective Altruist purge at Jane Street before Oct. 2025

Oct 2, 7:25 AMOct 1, 9:59 PM

4.61%chance

231798

OptionVotes

YES

1637

913

Will the yearly average NO2 concentration in the streets of Berlin be below 30 µg/m³ at the beginning of 2030?

Aug 27, 7:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

38.76%chance

6168

OptionVotes

YES

131

124

Will City Street Navigation be available for all Tesla cars with FSD in China by the end of 2024?

Aug 8, 1:01 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

69.49%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

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Streets News

Prediction markets for Streets

Prediction markets for Streets

Prediction markets for Streets

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?

Will there still be a bi-directional center bike lane on Valencia Street in San Francisco at the end of 2025?

Will IKEA announce the closure of its SF market street location before Jan 1, 2025.

Will there be a Wall Street Stock Market Crash before 2027?

Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?

Will Sesame Street end before a human walks on Mars?

Will NYC close an entire street to cars before 2050?

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Dall-E type technologies destroy demand for itinerant street art sellers in Peru as proxy for Latam before end of 2024?

Effective Altruist purge at Jane Street before Oct. 2025

Will the yearly average NO2 concentration in the streets of Berlin be below 30 µg/m³ at the beginning of 2030?

Will City Street Navigation be available for all Tesla cars with FSD in China by the end of 2024?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Streets

Prediction markets for Streets

Prediction markets for Streets

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on Sesame Street by 2030?

Will there still be a bi-directional center bike lane on Valencia Street in San Francisco at the end of 2025?

Will IKEA announce the closure of its SF market street location before Jan 1, 2025.

Will there be a Wall Street Stock Market Crash before 2027?

Will at least 1 out of 100 pedestrians wear an AR headset on a street near me in 2030?

Will Sesame Street end before a human walks on Mars?

Will NYC close an entire street to cars before 2050?