Stories News

In 2024, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

Mar 2, 7:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.11%chance

491277

OptionVotes

YES

1646

1621

In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

Mar 2, 7:02 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.97%chance

401086

OptionVotes

YES

2297

1718

Will "The Story of "I Have Been A Good Bing"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Apr 1, 11:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

30.2%chance

21523

OptionVotes

YES

1032

882

Will there be a story about jailbreaking used in emails within the next year?

Jun 12, 10:20 AMJun 11, 10:59 PM

62.52%chance

11695

OptionVotes

YES

1292

774

Will Stephen King announce a story that features AI anytime from the posting of this question up to the end of 2024?

Aug 27, 11:56 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

24.51%chance

11193

OptionVotes

YES

1083

959

A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.

May 19, 4:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.08%chance

15417

OptionVotes

YES

1144

929

Will a AAA single-player game use artificial intelligence for real-time story generation by the beginning of 2035?

Dec 6, 1:31 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

89%chance

13548

OptionVotes

YES

1464

901

Will The Expanse TV show return to finish the story?

Sep 10, 11:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53.62%chance

14306

OptionVotes

YES

998

993

Neural Nets will write award-winning short stories and publishable 50k-word books by the end of 2025

Mar 28, 9:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.06%chance

272309

OptionVotes

YES

1449

764

Will Theo Baker sell the film rights to the story of him taking down the President of Stanford as a freshman?

Jul 22, 6:20 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

54.64%chance

16808

OptionVotes

YES

1030

927

Will a mainstream media outlet publish a story on how prediction markets affected the outcome of the primaries?

Aug 5, 3:53 PMNov 6, 2:59 AM

8.49%chance

262743

OptionVotes

YES

1880

828

Will a Reuters story reference this market?

Jun 8, 11:51 AMSep 2, 6:59 AM

5.67%chance

354541

OptionVotes

YES

4077

245

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Stories News

Prediction markets for Stories

Prediction markets for Stories

Prediction markets for Stories

In 2024, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

Will "The Story of "I Have Been A Good Bing"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will there be a story about jailbreaking used in emails within the next year?

Will Stephen King announce a story that features AI anytime from the posting of this question up to the end of 2024?

A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.

Will a AAA single-player game use artificial intelligence for real-time story generation by the beginning of 2035?

Will The Expanse TV show return to finish the story?

Neural Nets will write award-winning short stories and publishable 50k-word books by the end of 2025

Will Theo Baker sell the film rights to the story of him taking down the President of Stanford as a freshman?

Will a mainstream media outlet publish a story on how prediction markets affected the outcome of the primaries?

Will a Reuters story reference this market?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Stories

Prediction markets for Stories

Prediction markets for Stories

In 2024, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?

Will "The Story of "I Have Been A Good Bing"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will there be a story about jailbreaking used in emails within the next year?

Will Stephen King announce a story that features AI anytime from the posting of this question up to the end of 2024?

A single neural network will win multiple top short story awards (for many stories) before 2026. No editing.

Will a AAA single-player game use artificial intelligence for real-time story generation by the beginning of 2035?