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S&P 500 Rises 8.9% Since May, Defying 'Sell in May or June' Adage
Authors
6
14 days
Economics
Business

Will Space’s timecube ad lead to >1 month of attic stay?

Jun 8, 1:15 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.53%chance

3110

OptionVotes

YES

10106

9895

Will Nevada stay blue in 2024

Sep 5, 3:41 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

48.61%chance

233966

OptionVotes

YES

1078

909

Will AIs stay below 1453 elo in 2024 on chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboard as predicted by Gary Marcus?

Apr 23, 8:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.54%chance

294146

OptionVotes

YES

1719

527

will the "AI movie to a prompt" market stay above 65% for a week straight before the end of 2025?

Jan 2, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.09%chance

18943

OptionVotes

YES

1095

919

Will USD/RUB exchange rate stay higher than 100 for at least one week in 2024?

Dec 22, 1:16 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

12%chance

214208

OptionVotes

YES

2127

Will Pennsylvania stay blue in 2024?

Sep 5, 12:32 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

48.34%chance

221988

OptionVotes

YES

1246

675

Will gold stay above $2,000 until the end of 2024?

Apr 14, 2:17 PMDec 22, 7:59 AM

68.9%chance

15285

OptionVotes

YES

1033

973

Will Georgia stay blue in 2024

Sep 2, 3:02 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

34.28%chance

251951

OptionVotes

YES

1308

770

Will the CVS across from Lighthaven stay open for another year?

Jun 3, 3:53 AMJun 10, 6:59 AM

73.62%chance

6761

OptionVotes

YES

1671

599

Will Michigan stay blue in 2024

Sep 4, 11:49 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

54.9%chance

235067

OptionVotes

YES

995

964

Will Wisconsin stay blue in 2024?

Sep 3, 2:54 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

48.55%chance

423674

OptionVotes

YES

1197

716

Will USD/RUB exchange rate stay higher than 150 for at least one week in 2024?

Dec 22, 1:19 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

18.72%chance

13781

OptionVotes

YES

1244

911

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Prediction markets for Stay

Prediction markets for Stay

Prediction markets for Stay

Will Space’s timecube ad lead to >1 month of attic stay?

Will Nevada stay blue in 2024

Will AIs stay below 1453 elo in 2024 on chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboard as predicted by Gary Marcus?

will the "AI movie to a prompt" market stay above 65% for a week straight before the end of 2025?

Will USD/RUB exchange rate stay higher than 100 for at least one week in 2024?

Will Pennsylvania stay blue in 2024?

Will gold stay above $2,000 until the end of 2024?

Will Georgia stay blue in 2024

Will the CVS across from Lighthaven stay open for another year?

Will Michigan stay blue in 2024

Will Wisconsin stay blue in 2024?

Will USD/RUB exchange rate stay higher than 150 for at least one week in 2024?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Stay

Prediction markets for Stay

Prediction markets for Stay

Will Space’s timecube ad lead to >1 month of attic stay?

Will Nevada stay blue in 2024

Will AIs stay below 1453 elo in 2024 on chat.lmsys.org/?leaderboard as predicted by Gary Marcus?

will the "AI movie to a prompt" market stay above 65% for a week straight before the end of 2025?

Will USD/RUB exchange rate stay higher than 100 for at least one week in 2024?