Statement Edition News

Washington Wizards Unveil 2024-25 Statement Edition Jerseys
Authors
9
11 days
MLB
Sports
Golden State Warriors Unveil New Statement Edition Uniforms and Secondary Logo for 2024-25 NBA Season
Authors
5
6 days
NBA
Sports
Culture

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Jan 24, 4:35 AMFeb 2, 4:59 AM

28.48%chance

915886

OptionVotes

YES

1819

1347

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?

Aug 23, 6:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.67%chance

707676

OptionVotes

YES

7325

3825

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.04%chance

32284169

OptionVotes

YES

3306

1450

Will the NYT lawsuit against OpenAI and MSFT go to trial?

Dec 27, 6:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

42.54%chance

18913336

OptionVotes

YES

2128

1183

Will Manifold crash during America's election night/morning?

May 3, 5:50 AMNov 6, 4:59 PM

17%chance

5610557

OptionVotes

YES

2196

279

Will we see a POTUS wielding a chainsaw over his head before EOY 2050?

Feb 18, 8:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.38%chance

381011

OptionVotes

YES

1089

953

Will Wikipedia credit gain-of-function research as possible cause for COVID by 2024?

Apr 20, 10:26 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

45.55%chance

11159

OptionVotes

YES

1003

995

Yahya Sinwar killed or captured by Israeli forces by end of 2024?

Nov 2, 9:44 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

28.74%chance

596593

OptionVotes

YES

1507

676

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

Oct 13, 12:47 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

70.25%chance

586923

OptionVotes

YES

1414

748

By 2030, will gene editing to cure serious genetic diseases be seen as generally uncontroversial?

Dec 23, 2:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.87%chance

453041

OptionVotes

YES

1733

723

Will @QiaochuYuan consider qualia a coherent concept by 2024

Jun 26, 12:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.68%chance

10234

OptionVotes

YES

1006

988

Will Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?

Oct 29, 4:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

7310017

OptionVotes

YES

1031

948

Latest stories

Golden State Warriors Unveil New Statement Edition Uniforms and Secondary Logo for 2024-25 NBA Season
Authors
5
6 days
NBA
Sports
Culture
Washington Wizards Unveil 2024-25 Statement Edition Jerseys
Authors
9
11 days
MLB
Sports

Statement Edition News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Statement Edition

Prediction markets for Statement Edition

Prediction markets for Statement Edition

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Will the NYT lawsuit against OpenAI and MSFT go to trial?

Will Manifold crash during America's election night/morning?

Will we see a POTUS wielding a chainsaw over his head before EOY 2050?

Will Wikipedia credit gain-of-function research as possible cause for COVID by 2024?

Yahya Sinwar killed or captured by Israeli forces by end of 2024?

Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?

By 2030, will gene editing to cure serious genetic diseases be seen as generally uncontroversial?

Will @QiaochuYuan consider qualia a coherent concept by 2024

Will Israel win the 2023 Israel–Hamas war?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Statement Edition

Prediction markets for Statement Edition

Prediction markets for Statement Edition

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Will GiveWell recommend a grant to support breastfeeding promotion before 2027?

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Will the NYT lawsuit against OpenAI and MSFT go to trial?

Will Manifold crash during America's election night/morning?