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State of Origin News
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NSW Defeats Queensland 38-18 in Historic State of Origin Match Before 90k Crowd
Authors
8
7 days
Rugby
Sports
Prediction markets for State of Origin
Prediction markets for State of Origin
Will a model of chatGPT state lab-leak theory is the origin of covid 19 before 2030?
Jan 21, 4:00 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
77.5%
chance
6
361
Option
Votes
NO
YES
199
119
How many of the original 100 answers in this market will become President of the United States?
Mar 30, 6:09 PM
Jan 2, 1:29 PM
22
1126
Javier Milei - Argentina's president - First Term Mega-market (5000m prize voting based contest)
Dec 18, 5:45 PM
Dec 17, 6:59 AM
102
47274
Covid Origins MegaMarket - lots of unlinked binary questions about the steps on the way, varying lengths
Dec 25, 7:05 AM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
13
2065
In 2030, what are the intellectual tasks that an AI cannot do?
Dec 12, 4:42 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
38
2679
Will a United States judge or clerk cite an incorrect fact originating from ChatGPT in a court ruling?
Apr 30, 1:25 PM
Apr 30, 10:59 PM
84.75%
chance
7
184
Option
Votes
NO
YES
262
74
Will a state which is not the US contract SpaceX or Blue Origin to conduct a lunar landing before 2035?
May 22, 1:06 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
55%
chance
4
37
Option
Votes
NO
YES
126
94
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
Apr 13, 10:30 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 AM
22.98%
chance
1587
790011
Option
Votes
YES
NO
18187
9175
[Metaculus] Will a terrorist act occur in metropolitan France during the 2024 Summer Olympics?
Feb 26, 8:56 AM
Aug 12, 10:00 PM
27.4%
chance
24
1350
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1267
863
Will Trump choose Vivek as his vice presidential running mate OR Will I roll a 1 on a 10-sided die? [JOINT PROBABILITY]
Jun 11, 7:25 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
11.81%
chance
19
2362
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2732
366
Will there be a virtual state with no physical territory by 2040?
Aug 19, 10:10 PM
Jan 1, 8:59 PM
27.13%
chance
41
1913
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1491
1184
[Metaculus] Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
Jul 2, 6:28 PM
Jan 22, 5:00 PM
20.33%
chance
28
5792
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1980
505
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