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Starting Over News
Prediction markets for Starting Over
Prediction markets for Starting Over
Will new housing starts average over 1,500 per month in 2024?
Jan 3, 4:38 AM
Jan 1, 4:37 AM
48.81%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
NO
YES
92
88
If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?
Mar 24, 2:46 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
201
82490
When will Trump's VP pick be officially announced?
Jun 25, 1:18 AM
Jul 20, 6:59 AM
122
102820
Will any of the other Donald Trump criminal trials (Jury Selection) start before the November Presidential election?
Jun 1, 12:46 PM
Nov 5, 11:59 PM
26.46%
chance
45
14059
Option
Votes
YES
NO
16628
6046
Will Sam Altman start a new company before 2025?
Nov 17, 9:07 PM
Dec 31, 9:59 PM
31.42%
chance
348
113079
Option
Votes
YES
NO
10949
8894
🗓️2024 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (39 DONE)
Jan 28, 7:18 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
69
16624
What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?
Apr 7, 7:59 PM
Nov 19, 4:59 AM
256
170530
What will be true about Trump's running mate / Vice President pick?
Jan 10, 6:58 PM
Jul 31, 3:59 AM
258
43709
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
334
294277
Will a company started by me have a valuation of at least one billion USD by the year 2026?
Jan 25, 4:53 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 AM
3%
chance
57
22851
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2843
879
At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
Nov 12, 11:10 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
30.13%
chance
257
88785
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3618
1226
Which ACX Grants 2024 impact certs will meet their minimum funding on Manifund?
Mar 13, 10:19 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
1
2
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Authors
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8 months
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