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Prediction markets for Special Ballots

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Montana?

Dec 10, 1:02 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

34.48%chance

13448563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2690

1700

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas?

Dec 12, 2:57 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

13.64%chance

938375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2158

1340

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Ohio?

Dec 10, 1:02 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

39.44%chance

322705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1029

936

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Wisconsin?

Dec 12, 2:57 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

77.26%chance

12601

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1298

886

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Michigan?

Dec 12, 2:57 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

65.45%chance

271619

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

973

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Florida?

Dec 12, 2:57 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

16.33%chance

12832

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1178

939

Will a federal prosecutor indict Trump for "insurrection" after the Supreme Court's ruling in the Colorado ballot case?

Mar 4, 4:18 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

10.23%chance

10495

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1385

891

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Minnesota?

Dec 12, 2:57 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

90.18%chance

16821

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1220

941

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in West Virginia?

Dec 10, 1:02 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

3.59%chance

3010328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2905

782

Will any US state use the 14th Amendment to successfully disqualify a candidate for state office by 2028?

Mar 4, 8:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41.64%chance

5173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

183

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Missouri?

Dec 28, 10:11 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

3.27%chance

91309

OptionVotes

YES

NO

648

154

Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Nevada?

Dec 12, 2:57 PMDec 1, 12:00 PM

66.27%chance

8222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

195

152

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South Africa Prepares for Seventh Multiracial General Election Amid Crime, Inequality
Authors
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2 months
Economics
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