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Soviets News
Prediction markets for Soviets
Prediction markets for Soviets
Who orchestrated JFK's assassination?
Jul 3, 7:46 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
175
46797
If the Vela incident was a nuclear bomb test, which countries were involved?
Nov 16, 1:45 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4
296
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
265
328321
Will Ukraine be an official member of NATO by 2025?
Jan 14, 9:39 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6.05%
chance
105
15818
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3654
1182
Will a system similar to Brilliant Pebbles be publicly known to exist in any country by 2040?
Aug 28, 6:26 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
25.42%
chance
14
276
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1123
939
Will Russia field Chinese main battle tanks in Ukraine before 2025?
May 9, 12:18 PM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
13.94%
chance
19
1149
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1226
935
What is the risk-free interest rate on Manifold Markets until 2024-12-31?
Jan 1, 1:49 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
2.01%
chance
47
69249
Option
Votes
YES
NO
987
961
Will Russia be broken up by the end of 2024?
Oct 4, 1:55 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3.14%
chance
67
9455
Option
Votes
YES
NO
6259
634
Will Paradox Interactive publish a Cold War grand strategy game before 2030?
Dec 30, 7:06 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
81.94%
chance
8
234
Option
Votes
NO
YES
259
160
When will the next probe successfully descend in the Venusian atmosphere?
Mar 10, 1:21 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
14
509
Will an explosive at least one thousand times more powerful than the Tsar Bomba be developed before 2040?
Mar 17, 1:20 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
11.82%
chance
11
365
Option
Votes
YES
NO
422
153
Will any African countries federate/merge by 2040?
Sep 4, 10:25 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
38.67%
chance
8
247
Option
Votes
YES
NO
138
118
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