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Top stories

DA Threatens Withdrawal Over ANC's Altered Offers in South African Cabinet Announcement
Authors
4
22 hours
Africa
World
Politics
South African MP Andile Mngxitama Sparks Outrage with Genocidal Statements
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2 days
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Ethos Capital to Unbundle South African Investment Holding Company Brait, Joint CEO Resigns
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South Africa Stock Market, JSE, Rand Surge on JP Morgan Upgrade and Unity Govt, Fed Talks
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10 days
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BMJ Study Linking COVID-19 Vaccines to Excess Deaths Sparks Controversy, Receives Warning Label
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Prediction markets for South African

What percentage of votes will the ANC have in the 2024 South African general election?

Mar 27, 12:20 PMDec 31, 2:33 PM

39.86%chance

7139

OptionVotes

YES

NO

385

201

Will the South African government expel the US ambassador?

Aug 16, 7:09 AMSep 30, 9:59 PM

12%chance

4213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

56

Will the EFF be in the next South African government?

Nov 8, 8:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.22%chance

5118

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

71

who will win the 2024 South African general election?

Dec 7, 8:07 AM

70

Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.29%chance

111709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4632

4000

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.38%chance

213391

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3809

3207

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.54%chance

10311535

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4069

813

Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of South Sudan?

Dec 1, 9:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.33%chance

342164

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1969

1256

Will a coalition government be formed in South Africa following the 2024 general election?

Dec 1, 8:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.8%chance

455965

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5111

419

Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.44%chance

17026333

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1768

1110

Will there be a successful coup in 2024 that overthrows the government of the Central African Republic?

Dec 1, 9:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.87%chance

363580

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2112

896

Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?

Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

53.51%chance

13473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1153

752

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