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Sorry News
Prediction markets for Sorry
Prediction markets for Sorry
Will Trump say the words "I am sorry for.."?
Jan 30, 7:22 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
20.24%
chance
17
2094
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1098
961
What words or phrases will Donald Trump say or write before the election?
Apr 7, 7:59 PM
Nov 19, 4:59 AM
256
170530
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
291609
What's the best way for a politician to say "I lied"?
Nov 27, 2:10 AM
Dec 4, 4:59 AM
20
585
What tactic will prove the most mathlib lemmas at the end of 2026?
Sep 18, 6:01 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
7
703
Will Trump apologize for something before Election Day?
Jan 20, 3:29 AM
Nov 7, 6:59 AM
48.21%
chance
357
62963
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2432
2162
Will a woman be elected as the President of the United States before the end of 2040?
Apr 21, 6:37 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
70%
chance
136
7830
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2534
1734
Will OpenAI re-add the "Sky" voice by the end of 2024?
May 24, 12:15 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
47.64%
chance
175
21409
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1048
954
A popular AI priest for a popular religion before 2024 end? (500M subsidy)
May 18, 4:10 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 AM
23.37%
chance
31
863
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1234
1057
Will Xi Jinping remain leader of China for the rest of his life?
May 20, 9:07 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
32.81%
chance
31
1465
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1077
738
Will any of these 10 pundits apologize by end of August for calling for Biden to drop out?
Jun 29, 11:30 PM
Sep 1, 6:59 AM
30.7%
chance
30
2139
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1502
666
Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2024 election?
Nov 13, 5:53 PM
Dec 1, 7:59 AM
32.24%
chance
14
466
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1044
965
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