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Socialist News
Prediction markets for Socialist
Prediction markets for Socialist
Will there be at least 10 socialists in US Congress after the 2024 elections?
Sep 10, 5:18 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
69.61%
chance
18
318
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1096
943
Will a socialist or communist revolution happen in a NATO country by 2030?
Nov 24, 11:48 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
14.23%
chance
21
665
Option
Votes
NO
YES
995
877
Will there be a successful global socialist revolution by 2042?
Apr 17, 9:50 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
6.14%
chance
14
1856
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1497
902
Will a US senator, other than Bernie Sanders, identify as a socialist before 2030?
Nov 1, 3:17 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
52.04%
chance
5
61
Option
Votes
NO
YES
111
109
Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?
Jan 21, 11:33 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
26%
chance
8
286
Option
Votes
YES
NO
187
125
Will a socialist be elected president by 2040?
Aug 2, 5:19 PM
Jan 7, 7:59 AM
31.02%
chance
10
235
Option
Votes
YES
NO
205
176
Will the winner of the 2024 Presidential election be a self-described socialist
Mar 22, 8:00 PM
Dec 16, 5:59 AM
1.62%
chance
76
7344
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4357
781
When will the Democratic Socialists of America next endorse the Democratic nominee for US president? (2024 and later)
May 22, 7:49 AM
Dec 31, 1:59 PM
0
0
Which parties will be part of the next Belgian government?
Jun 9, 10:13 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
7
734
What will happen to the UK before 2050?
Apr 16, 3:29 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20
1557
Left-Wing or Right-Wing? Which person/character/concept will Manifold think are "Right-Wing" this week?
Apr 18, 12:18 AM
Jul 7, 4:00 PM
265
328573
What adjectives will Donald Trump use to describe Joe Biden ahead of the next presidential inauguration?
Feb 2, 10:04 PM
Jan 20, 10:59 PM
127
19038
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Portugal's Political Crisis Deepens as Central Bank Governor Faces Ethics Review, President Denies Inviting Successor, Costa Resigns Unexpectedly
Authors
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8 months
Economics
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