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Prediction markets for Social Principles
Prediction markets for Social Principles
If a definitive genetic study of race and intelligence gets performed, what will the W/B genetic g difference be?
Mar 7, 9:01 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
65.91%
chance
12
3595
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1077
949
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
57.15%
chance
29
1297
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1033
921
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2035?
Jun 1, 6:37 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
86.64%
chance
16
674
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1123
959
Will There Be a Successful Assassination of RFK Jr. Before December 31, 2026?
Feb 6, 1:20 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4.3%
chance
14
1610
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1531
930
If a solid neurological study of trans women gets performed, what will the results most resemble?
Feb 26, 9:00 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
37
2792
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2030?
Jun 1, 6:37 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
69.86%
chance
3
35
Option
Votes
NO
YES
145
88
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the MCAT without cheating before 2025?
Jun 1, 6:36 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
31.99%
chance
8
234
Option
Votes
YES
NO
192
121
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UMC Approves Same-Sex Marriages, Faces Division After Losing 25% of U.S. Churches
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8
2 months
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United Methodist Delegates Approve LGBTQ Rites, Autonomy; Remove Immorality Charges, Social Principles
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4
2 months
Politics
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