Social News

50 Million Social Media Influencers Struggle with Income, 48% Earn $15,000 or Less: WSJ
Authors
5
16 days
Economics
Business

Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills?

Oct 8, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.61%chance

8923746

OptionVotes

YES

1046

880

Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?

Jun 9, 10:27 AMOct 31, 10:59 PM

48.78%chance

6821884

OptionVotes

YES

1028

792

Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:13 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

36.47%chance

622949

OptionVotes

YES

1554

885

Will there be significant social unrest, protests, riots, etc. over the results of the 2024 presidential election?

Mar 17, 5:10 PMFeb 1, 8:00 AM

78.12%chance

886890

OptionVotes

YES

1982

770

Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?

Mar 1, 1:34 AMMar 1, 3:00 AM

24.53%chance

251711

OptionVotes

YES

1016

964

Will Social Security become insolvent before 2040?

Jun 28, 4:48 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.93%chance

6589

OptionVotes

YES

1001

999

Will social media sites have warning labels before 2028?

Jun 19, 5:53 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.82%chance

191266

OptionVotes

YES

1171

854

Will AI generated content be ~50% or more of content creation on major social media platforms in 2025?

Jun 29, 5:44 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

38.41%chance

272594

OptionVotes

YES

1070

780

Will a major social media company experience an outage of 24 hours or more before 2025?

Feb 24, 1:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34.2%chance

18928

OptionVotes

YES

1005

955

Will New York State bill to "regulate social media algorithms for children" be implemented in 2024?

Jun 4, 4:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

34%chance

131999

OptionVotes

YES

1393

718

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.68%chance

132914

OptionVotes

YES

1075

955

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Dec 27, 6:10 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.64%chance

26690

OptionVotes

YES

1025

925

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Social News

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Prediction markets for Social

Prediction markets for Social

Prediction markets for Social

Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills?

Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?

Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?

Will there be significant social unrest, protests, riots, etc. over the results of the 2024 presidential election?

Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?

Will Social Security become insolvent before 2040?

Will social media sites have warning labels before 2028?

Will AI generated content be ~50% or more of content creation on major social media platforms in 2025?

Will a major social media company experience an outage of 24 hours or more before 2025?

Will New York State bill to "regulate social media algorithms for children" be implemented in 2024?

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Social

Prediction markets for Social

Prediction markets for Social

Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills?

Will the radical right AfD get more votes than the social democrats in Germany's next federal election?

Will we see an increased premium put on offline socialization by the end of 2027?

Will there be significant social unrest, protests, riots, etc. over the results of the 2024 presidential election?

Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?