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Small Things Like These News
Prediction markets for Small Things Like These
Prediction markets for Small Things Like These
Which books will I rate 5 stars, if I read them?
Jan 1, 6:56 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
8
323
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
56.32%
chance
27
1336
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1041
925
Will any notable scientist or public intellectual posthumously publish as an AI simulacrum before EoY 2027?
Jun 12, 3:00 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8.52%
chance
21
6782
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3277
305
Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075?
Apr 17, 2:06 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
68.3%
chance
19
841
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1051
959
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PM
Dec 18, 2:59 PM
62.07%
chance
17
243
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1139
891
Which books in this list will I "really like"?
Mar 27, 3:20 PM
Mar 28, 6:59 AM
122
18313
Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?
Oct 18, 7:45 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
42.91%
chance
3
50
Option
Votes
YES
NO
99
82
Lantern Bioworks' Lumina ProBiotic: Does it work and does it have side effects? [Scott Alexander's possibilities]
Apr 16, 3:28 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
90
12863
If I try ____ food in 2024, will I enjoy it and think the experience was worth it?
Mar 12, 7:39 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
19
484
Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?
Apr 7, 12:55 PM
25
0
Elaborate, galaxy brained, and obnoxious pricing systems for tutoring
Oct 18, 5:50 PM
0
0
High school life hacks
Oct 17, 9:16 PM
0
0
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