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Top stories
Silver Futures Reach $30/oz, Bull Flag Pattern Signals Positive Outlook at $30.76
Authors
5
12 days
Economics
Business
Prediction markets for Silver
Prediction markets for Silver
Will an AI get bronze or silver on any International Math Olympiad by end of 2025?
Jul 23, 1:21 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
37.42%
chance
127
25778
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1557
944
Will Nate Silverโs model correctly predict the election?
Jun 27, 2:21 AM
Nov 6, 7:59 AM
71.39%
chance
141
27884
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1580
633
Will Nate Silver create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Jan 9, 7:12 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
63.69%
chance
88
16357
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1404
1203
Will Manifest 2025 have someone more famous than Nate Silver?
Jun 10, 6:25 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
19.96%
chance
16
1371
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2003
499
Will an AI get at least silver on International Olympiad in Informatics (IOI) by end of 2025?
Aug 9, 4:47 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
22.89%
chance
49
3372
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1828
581
Will Nate Silver out-predict his forecast in the 2024 election?
Nov 13, 5:53 PM
Dec 1, 7:59 AM
32.24%
chance
14
466
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1044
965
Will Nate Silver place a bet on Manifold before the election?
Jan 2, 4:47 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
21.3%
chance
32
3621
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1277
879
Will Nate Silver's upcoming book make the NYT bestsellers list?
Oct 22, 10:02 PM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
84.84%
chance
19
1043
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1177
945
Which strange outputs of other models will Nate Silver's 2024 election model replicate?
Jun 14, 11:51 PM
Jul 15, 6:59 AM
13
9717
Which athlete will win the most overall medals (gold, silver and bronze) at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics?
Apr 19, 2:05 PM
Jul 29, 3:59 AM
17
1226
Will Nate Silver "Sell or license his 2024 election model to a third-party media company"?
Jan 9, 9:50 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
3.53%
chance
6
677
Option
Votes
YES
NO
770
70
When will Nate Silver's new book be available?
Dec 9, 12:09 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
20
6557
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