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Prediction markets for shooting

Will there be a mass shooting with more than 20 fatalities in the US in 2024?

Jun 12, 9:40 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

32.89%chance

567116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1428

700

Will Alec Baldwin be found Not Guilty in his upcoming criminal trial for the movie set shooting death?

Mar 8, 6:42 AMAug 6, 3:59 AM

63%chance

403401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1121

897

Will there be a major school shooting in the US before the end of 2024?

Dec 27, 2:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

60.31%chance

1079866

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1278

564

Will a NATO country shoot down a Russian military asset by end of 2024?

Mar 25, 7:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

27.29%chance

27953

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1144

922

Will a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?

Apr 15, 7:34 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

54.52%chance

15220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

939

Will Poland shoot down a Russian military asset by end of 2024?

Mar 24, 3:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

26.76%chance

23525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1145

921

Will NATO or Poland Shoot Down a Russian Military Drone Over Poland in 2024?

Jan 1, 6:54 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

23.37%chance

241455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1102

947

Conditional on Kristi Noem speaks at RNC, will she mention or reference willingness to kill, or shoot, animals?

May 3, 7:53 PMJul 20, 6:59 AM

21.62%chance

10365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

956

☠️ Will More Than 650 Mass Shootings Occur Within The United States In 2024?

Dec 26, 9:38 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

59.17%chance

21508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

933

Will Alec Baldwin get convicted on any charge for the Rust movie shooting?

Jan 28, 1:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.84%chance

201401

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

860

Will EHarding's market "Will any Democratic state legalize school shootings by the end of 2032?" resolve accurately?

Jun 2, 1:47 PMDec 31, 2:00 PM

55%chance

12519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1003

994

Will Russia shoot down a manned NATO military aircraft before 2025?

Apr 15, 11:33 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

16.29%chance

24714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1306

902

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