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PS5 Fan Favourite Stellar Blade Sells Over 1 Million Copies, Generates $15.8 Million
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9 days
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Prediction markets for Shift Up
Prediction markets for Shift Up
Good Tweet or Bad Tweet? Which controversial posts will Manifold think are a "Good Take" this week?
Mar 31, 6:42 PM
Jul 6, 6:59 PM
333
293198
If the hard problem of consciousness is solved, what will be true of it?
May 26, 9:53 AM
Jun 2, 9:59 PM
52
4897
Covid Origins MegaMarket - lots of unlinked binary questions about the steps on the way, varying lengths
Dec 25, 7:05 AM
Jan 1, 6:59 AM
13
2065
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2030?
Feb 4, 8:20 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
5
322
Will Trump or Biden get a post-debate bump?
Jun 27, 8:55 PM
Jul 8, 6:59 AM
22
3472
Why will my solo consulting fail?
Jul 2, 10:40 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
1
30
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2025?
Feb 4, 8:17 AM
Jan 1, 1:55 PM
9
588
What games will I enjoy playing with my partner?
Oct 17, 12:57 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
33
10818
If climate change is solved by 2065, what will I attribute the victory to?
Mar 11, 8:45 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
21
1436
If Biden drops out, his approval rating will...
Jun 30, 7:19 PM
Nov 7, 7:59 AM
7
973
What will the biggest twitter-like app be in 2026?
Jul 6, 2:33 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
105
9498
9) Some of the hype and herd mentality behavior that shifted from crypto to AI in 2023 will shift back to crypto in 2024
Dec 25, 1:41 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
74.95%
chance
47
4111
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1306
862
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