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Shaping Us News
Prediction markets for Shaping Us
Prediction markets for Shaping Us
GTA VI using GenAI in some way shape or form either at launch or as an update.
Nov 8, 6:13 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
51.64%
chance
6
59
Option
Votes
NO
YES
165
134
Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?
Nov 20, 3:41 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
35.18%
chance
84
12035
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1868
515
Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Nov 1, 7:46 PM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
70.5%
chance
13
171
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1003
990
2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.
Mar 11, 12:08 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
57.15%
chance
29
1297
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1033
921
Will the US Still Be Considered a Superpower by EOY 2040?
Dec 23, 2:25 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
90.28%
chance
17
1128
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1148
953
Will the US Constitution be amended to revoke Birthright Citizenship before 2040?
Jun 28, 12:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
3.4%
chance
18
1019
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1388
947
Will irrefutable evidence emerge that the first non-human origin craft was first obtained in Italy in 1933?
Jun 11, 12:58 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
1.7%
chance
18
3986
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2666
896
Will any European Country make a transition to an exclusive democracy by 2039 (Rare event market)
Feb 27, 10:06 PM
Jan 1, 9:59 PM
41.67%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
183
146
Usher Halftime Show Predictions 🏈 Super Bowl LVIII
Jan 8, 5:10 PM
Jul 17, 3:59 AM
113
742588
Will Mr. Donald Trump join Manifold Markets before the end of 2025?
Aug 11, 10:20 PM
Dec 31, 6:29 PM
1.69%
chance
20
1567
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1675
947
Do you agree with the attached article's argument on job loss and AI?
Apr 7, 12:55 PM
25
0
Articles
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5
5 months
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Prince William and Kate Middleton Make Various Public Appearances in Support of Charitable Initiatives, Meghan Markle and Prince Harry Go Trick-or-Treating
Authors
7
8 months
Culture
Duchess of Wales Kate Middleton Joins 'Dadvengers' in London's Arnos Grove, Entertains Children at Parenting Event
Authors
6
8 months
Culture
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