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Shallow News
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Lady Gaga wows Las Vegas & Pennsylvania with new covers, outfits, and performances
Authors
4
9 days
Culture
Prediction markets for Shallow
Prediction markets for Shallow
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Feb 13, 1:35 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
60.65%
chance
4
48
Option
Votes
NO
YES
150
72
Which returning Survivor cast members will compete in Survivor Season 50?
May 23, 1:33 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
13
5135
Will Lady Gaga sing an original song in Joker: Folie Ă Deux? đđ€đ¶
Mar 23, 3:31 AM
Oct 5, 6:59 AM
71.35%
chance
16
1171
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1142
917
Will GiveWell research gene-editing mosquitoes to eradicate malaria?
Dec 29, 10:48 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
57.43%
chance
23
769
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1044
921
How fast scales deep alignment from preference learning (e.g. RLHF)?
Mar 26, 9:07 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
1
0
Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?
Jun 5, 10:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
56.97%
chance
2
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
106
73
Will GiveWell research Ultra Poor Graduation initiatives before January 2026?
Jan 14, 9:41 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
49.38%
chance
4
24
Option
Votes
YES
NO
113
107
Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!
Mar 9, 8:51 PM
0
0
Articles
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