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Prediction markets for SB
Prediction markets for SB
Will California AI regulation bill SB 1047 become law this session?
Feb 12, 4:05 PM
Sep 2, 3:59 AM
57.61%
chance
116
37270
Option
Votes
YES
NO
57910
40119
Will SB 1047 survive this legislative session such that the bill makes it to Governor Newsom’s desk?
Jun 2, 2:18 AM
Oct 1, 6:59 AM
75.68%
chance
12
7801
Option
Votes
NO
YES
17463
5859
Assuming SB 1047 is passed, will the "compute threshold" of 10^26 flop be raised before 2030?
May 19, 1:50 PM
Jun 2, 3:59 AM
56.13%
chance
23
3083
Option
Votes
NO
YES
5152
3916
Will California AI bill (SB-1047) be signed into law with the "kill switch" requirement?
Jun 12, 10:46 PM
Oct 2, 6:59 AM
59.74%
chance
6
225
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1218
821
If SB 1047 passes with the third party auditing requirement, will there be a third party audit available under $500k?
Jun 18, 7:23 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
69.55%
chance
10
590
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1511
662
Will California bill SB-1308, regulating the ozone emission of air cleaners, become law?
Mar 22, 9:07 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
59.11%
chance
12
1352
Option
Votes
YES
NO
996
988
Will any large company leave California because of SB-1047? (2025)
Jun 12, 4:56 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
9
1104
Will California SB 1047 pass? | What will the highest Chatbot Arena elo of an open source model be at the start of 2025?
May 24, 1:48 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
0
0
Will California SB 1047 pass? | What will the highest Chatbot Arena elo of an open source model be at the start of 2026?
May 24, 1:48 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
1
100
Will the anti-nudity legislation pending in the Wisconsin Senate become law?
Oct 18, 1:57 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
2
305
How much time will SBF serve in jail/prison/house-arrest?
Oct 11, 8:47 PM
Oct 19, 6:59 AM
327
141989
Was SBF behind the FTX hack?
Nov 12, 6:06 AM
Jan 1, 8:01 AM
3.43%
chance
125
19780
Option
Votes
YES
NO
11237
981
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4
2 months
Texas
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9
3 months
Texas
Politics
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