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Santa News
Prediction markets for Santa
Prediction markets for Santa
Will Aldi open a bay area (Santa Clara, San Mateo, San Francisco, Contra Alameda) store before Jan 1 2025?
Nov 20, 9:20 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
50%
chance
1
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
70
70
Will Manifold hold Secret Santa event before the end of 2028?
Dec 23, 10:20 AM
Dec 31, 6:59 PM
67.65%
chance
4
63
Option
Votes
NO
YES
105
78
Will the Santa Fe Land Iguana, aka Barrington Land Iguana (Conolophus pallidus) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 30, 6:03 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
36.57%
chance
3
71
Option
Votes
YES
NO
208
124
Santa Claus stock
Apr 10, 5:36 AM
Apr 11, 3:59 AM
17
1037
Option
Votes
NO
YES
389
283
Will the 2024 Google Santa Tracker use the same route that it has since 2019?
Dec 25, 11:03 AM
Dec 27, 3:59 AM
80%
chance
2
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
120
45
If Santa Claus were an American registered voter, which party would he support?
Dec 24, 2:17 PM
12
0
Who will win the 2024 CoolFold Charity Raffle?
Jan 5, 6:58 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4
70
🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Feb 24, 7:07 PM
Aug 1, 3:59 AM
242
250050
What conspiracy theories will be proven true by 2100? (Mega Market)
Jan 30, 3:04 PM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
111
44025
Will Waymo be fully deployed in LA by the end of 2024?
Dec 28, 7:05 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
28.59%
chance
23
2235
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1640
279
Will Waymo be fully deployed in LA by the end of 2024?
Dec 28, 12:57 PM
Sep 30, 10:59 PM
21.12%
chance
37
5484
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1902
405
Will an earthquake with a Modified Mercalli of VIII or greater strike the San Francisco Bay Area by November 1, 2024?
Jun 25, 2:51 AM
Nov 2, 4:59 AM
6.53%
chance
10
1093
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1571
903
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