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Russian invasion of Ukraine News
Prediction markets for Russian invasion of Ukraine
Prediction markets for Russian invasion of Ukraine
On the third anniversary of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, will the Russia-Ukraine war still be ongoing?
Apr 8, 7:58 PM
Feb 25, 7:59 AM
85.82%
chance
33
1958
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1397
883
When will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)
Oct 2, 10:56 AM
Dec 31, 12:59 PM
100
19513
[Metaculus] Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
Oct 7, 1:24 PM
Jan 1, 11:00 PM
21%
chance
2
81
Option
Votes
YES
NO
142
64
What is more likely to happen in the russian invasion of Ukraine by 2027
Dec 20, 1:43 AM
Jan 1, 2:59 AM
16
612
At the end of 2024, Wikipedia will say there were this many total people killed by the 2022 Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Nov 4, 1:28 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
80.74%
chance
9
303
Option
Votes
NO
YES
501
358
Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
Jun 11, 7:40 PM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
46.84%
chance
19
1784
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1065
939
Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war
Apr 8, 3:00 AM
May 15, 3:59 AM
46.61%
chance
103
50284
Option
Votes
YES
NO
974
938
Will Ukraine regain control of its pre-2014 territory (including Crimea and Donbas) by 2025?
Jun 6, 7:44 PM
Dec 31, 11:00 PM
7.2%
chance
115
46575
Option
Votes
YES
NO
5017
968
Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030? [100M subsidy]
May 21, 10:38 AM
Jul 1, 8:59 PM
24.37%
chance
18
3166
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1072
947
Will another country join the Russian-Ukraine war before it ends?
Dec 18, 10:52 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
12.5%
chance
47
1840
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1889
766
As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?
Jul 19, 9:54 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
9.14%
chance
32
2875
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1813
833
Will Ukraine gain control of any parts of Russian pre-2014 territory by 2025?
Dec 7, 11:28 PM
Jan 1, 3:00 AM
14.43%
chance
12
306
Option
Votes
NO
YES
989
939
Articles
Latest stories
Russian Streamers Sentenced to Over 5 Years for Criticizing Invasion of Ukraine
Authors
4
25 days
Economics
Crime
Business
Putin Eyes 5th Term in Kremlin-Backed Election, Extending Rule by Six Years
Authors
16
4 months
Politics
Oleg Orlov Sentenced for Criticizing Russia's Invasion of Ukraine, Claims No Crime Committed
Authors
5
4 months
Crime
Politics
Culture
Russia Detains WSJ Reporter for 340 Days, Dissidents Receive Harsh Sentences
Authors
7
4 months
Crime
Politics
Culture
Oleg Orlov, Ilya Yashin Jailed for 8.5 Years for Opposing Ukraine War
Authors
4
4 months
Ukraine
Crime
World
Western Hypocrisy Highlighted in Responses to Ukraine and Post-Oct. 7 Israel-Palestine Conflict
Authors
7
4 months
Israel
World
Cameron Warns UN, US Congress: Don't Let 'Fatigue' Compromise Ukraine Support
Authors
8
4 months
Britain
World
UK Energy Bills to Hit 2-Year Low, £238 Cut in April After 12% Price Cap Reduction
Authors
19
4 months
Britain
World
HBO Drops Serbian Actor Miloš Biković from 'The White Lotus' Season 3 Cast Over Putin Ties, Role to Be Recast with Julian Kostov
Authors
23
5 months
Culture
Ukrainian Documentary '20 Days in Mariupol' Directed by Mstyslav Chernov Nominated for Oscar, Wins Sundance Audience Award, Receives BAFTA Nomination
Authors
11
5 months
Britain
World
Polish PM Donald Tusk Condemns EU Leaders' Neutrality on Ukraine
Authors
5
5 months
Ukraine
World
Ukraine, US Investigate War Crimes During Russian Invasion; Four Russian Soldiers Charged Under War Crimes Act for Torturing American
Authors
41
7 months
Politics
Bloomberg Poll: Swing-State Voters Prioritize US-Mexico Border Security Over Biden's Foreign Policy Crises, Reveals Immigration Concerns
Authors
8
8 months
Israel
Economics
World
Russia Appoints Viktor Afzalov as New Commander-in-Chief of Aerospace Forces Amid Reports of Ukrainian POWs Being Deployed to Front Lines
Authors
4
8 months
Ukraine
World
Russian Invasion of Ukraine Boosts Defense Contractors' Revenues, Ukraine Imposes Controls on Grain Traders, Struggles to Hire Workers
Authors
8
8 months
Economics
Business
Ukraine Suspends Grain Corridor Amid Russian Threat; US Announces $150M Arms Package; Russia Attracts Cuban Mercenaries; Infrastructure Minister Denies Suspension; Additional $150M in Military Equipment; Russian Invasion Boosts Defense Contractors' Revenues; Tighter Controls Over Grain Traders
Authors
15
8 months
Economics
Business
Study Finds Wartime Deepfakes Can Blur Reality, Undermine Trust
Authors
5
8 months
Tech
Colonel General Viktor Afzalov Confirmed as New Commander of Russian Aerospace Forces, Amid Reports of Involvement in Ukraine
Authors
6
8 months
Ukraine
World
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen Says US Can Afford to Support Israel and Ukraine Simultaneously
Authors
25
9 months
Israel
World
Politics
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