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Prediction markets for Russia Day

Will Vladimir Putin be alive and out of custody for at least 7 days after he ceases to be the president of Russia?

Mar 2, 2:27 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

36.12%chance

14280

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1056

963

Will there be a week (7-day) long ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia during 2024?

Dec 31, 10:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.53%chance

181290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

934

Will Trump solve the Russia-Ukraine war within a day of his election?

Jan 7, 9:25 AMFeb 28, 10:59 PM

7.12%chance

201696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

957

Will 2024 prove to be a pivotal year for Cold War 2 as posited by Noah Smith?

Mar 20, 8:28 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

25.21%chance

191082

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13210

12847

Will Y2K38 cause a significant impact in the United States?

Jan 29, 3:36 AMFeb 1, 8:00 AM

34.54%chance

1479512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1784

773

Chechnya confronts Russia before the end of Russia-Ukraine war?

Jul 8, 9:28 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.94%chance

292035

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1232

878

Will Dmirty Medvedev outlive Vladimir Putin?

Feb 20, 4:36 PMJan 25, 8:59 PM

68.67%chance

18329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

963

Will Boris Nadezhdin be free and in Russia at the end of 2024?

Jan 31, 1:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81.06%chance

281979

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1248

874

Will YouTube be blocked in Russia before the end of 2024?

Jun 5, 7:09 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

15.1%chance

242282

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1337

869

Will Russian forces take Vuhledar in 2024?

Feb 20, 7:47 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

65.84%chance

14389

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1155

882

Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before 2026?

Oct 30, 9:24 PMJan 6, 10:59 PM

29.01%chance

473823

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

539

Will Japan gain de facto control of Shikotan island (one of the Kuril islands) from Russia before 2031?

Jan 5, 11:13 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

16.54%chance

13386

OptionVotes

NO

YES

988

967

Articles

Latest stories

Medvedev's Russia Day Public Holiday Video Depicts Ukraine as Part of Russia
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Ukraine
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