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Prediction markets for Roman Catholic
Prediction markets for Roman Catholic
Will the Roman Catholic Church permit the ordination of female priests by 2050?
Apr 27, 8:40 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
22.44%
chance
42
7415
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1739
1703
Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?
Sep 28, 3:48 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
55.1%
chance
20
723
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1069
879
Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2030?
Jun 19, 6:27 PM
Dec 31, 5:59 AM
8.29%
chance
10
248
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1222
951
Conditional on it being developed earlier, will an AGI be initiated into the Roman Catholic Church before 2100?
Oct 7, 4:53 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
23.98%
chance
6
65
Option
Votes
YES
NO
235
138
Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2040?
Jun 19, 6:28 PM
Dec 31, 5:59 AM
16.71%
chance
5
108
Option
Votes
YES
NO
210
71
What Religion will the next President of the US be?
Dec 21, 1:32 AM
Nov 8, 5:59 PM
19
626
Which elite global achievers will join manifold? Nobel prize, Nebula, Pope, EGOT, Pulitzer? 50+ Y/N options, research op
Dec 1, 5:39 PM
Jul 1, 4:59 AM
19
2655
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
Mar 7, 8:06 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
23.94%
chance
23
729
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1120
932
Will the pope announce the second coming of Jesus Christ within the next 30 days ?
Jun 18, 3:14 PM
Jul 18, 9:59 PM
1%
chance
39
12487
Option
Votes
YES
NO
9950
101
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before 2030?
Dec 16, 6:03 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
91.58%
chance
12
671
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1376
926
Will Donald Trump be beatified before 2028?
Feb 5, 2:34 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
4.23%
chance
8
486
Option
Votes
YES
NO
593
152
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7
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6
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8
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14
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12
4 months
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4
5 months
Economics
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32
5 months
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10
6 months
Florida
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16
8 months
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