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Rewards News
Prediction markets for Rewards
Prediction markets for Rewards
Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]
Sep 21, 6:40 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
14.91%
chance
21
1534
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1273
913
Will the daily reward for sharing a market remain at 10 Mana until the end of the year?
Jun 5, 7:26 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
27.42%
chance
21
1731
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1627
615
Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?
Dec 18, 9:07 AM
Mar 3, 4:59 AM
13.36%
chance
14
938
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1277
916
Will I be able to reward someone M1000+ for finding music really similar to the album ユメの喫茶店 in 2024?
Dec 31, 11:21 AM
Jan 1, 3:59 PM
11.21%
chance
4
171
Option
Votes
YES
NO
181
34
Will Rewarding Efforts to Decrease Unrecycled Contaminants in Ecosystems (REDUCE) Act ever be passed?
Oct 4, 12:44 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.44%
chance
1
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
90
55
When will the Global Carbon Reward project be implemented worldwide?
Jul 22, 3:07 PM
Jul 1, 9:59 PM
3
95
Will Bitcoin change its block reward mechanism by 2040?
Mar 18, 6:37 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
7.65%
chance
8
756
Option
Votes
YES
NO
467
128
The Million Views Challenge: Will the first market to reach 1 Million views receive an reward for it?
Feb 28, 6:27 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
23.56%
chance
6
142
Option
Votes
YES
NO
261
107
Where will we honeymoon? (Subsidized! Reward for new answers!)
Sep 5, 8:17 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
29
21292
Will the Global Carbon Reward be realized in a substantial form by 2040?
Feb 9, 10:54 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
24.5%
chance
6
82
Option
Votes
YES
NO
225
140
Conditional on friendly ASI, will reasonable, selfless positions be commensurately rewarded?
Dec 31, 2:12 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
(Mana rewards for improvement suggestions) Will the attempted gentrification of Caerphilly, Wales last until 2025?
Mar 11, 5:45 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
47.04%
chance
4
23
Option
Votes
YES
NO
173
152
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