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ReThinking News
Prediction markets for ReThinking
Prediction markets for ReThinking
What percentage of the reports/papers Rethink Priorities produces in 2024 will get published in peer-reviewed journals?
Jan 8, 10:47 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
18.52%
chance
8
117
Option
Votes
YES
NO
232
115
[Megamarket] 80,000 Hours podcast in 2024 prop bets
Mar 8, 9:51 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
24
1977
What donation-accepting entity (e.g., charity) would it be morally best to transfer $20 under the coherent extrapolation of my (Aaron Bergman's) values, all things considered?
Feb 6, 4:25 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
20
1070
Will CEA announce insolvency before the end 2025?
Dec 4, 5:08 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
4.33%
chance
17
1201
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1689
916
In 2030, will we think FLI's 6 month pause open letter helped or harmed our AI x-risk chances?
Mar 30, 2:50 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
11
531
Will ACE recommend any orgs doing direct (non-research) interventions in wild animal suffering by 2030?
Jan 15, 10:46 PM
Jan 1, 11:59 PM
69.28%
chance
9
133
Option
Votes
NO
YES
199
149
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Latest stories
Trudeau Considered Stepping Down Amid Marriage Difficulties, Comments on Pierre's Traction
Authors
5
19 days
Canada
World
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