Resolve for Stability News

Pakistan Launches Operation Azm-e-Istehkam to Combat Terrorism, Focus on TTP
Authors
13
8 days
Pakistan
Middle East
World

Assuming SB 1047 is passed, will the "compute threshold" of 10^26 flop be raised before 2030?

May 19, 1:50 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

56.13%chance

233083

OptionVotes

YES

5152

3916

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

Jan 17, 4:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.46%chance

705493

OptionVotes

YES

6274

6067

In the year 2100, will construction have begun on a lunar space elevator?

Aug 6, 9:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.55%chance

22446

OptionVotes

YES

1008

954

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.06%chance

181026

OptionVotes

YES

1021

939

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

Oct 14, 1:11 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

48.63%chance

14226

OptionVotes

YES

1020

978

Will a hurricane that strikes the United States in 2024 cause over $150 billion worth of damage?

May 23, 3:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.46%chance

142207

OptionVotes

YES

1806

554

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Oct 10, 1:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65.49%chance

11251

OptionVotes

YES

1053

958

Will Israel end the military conscription exemption for Haredi (ultra-Orthodox Jews) before the next general election?

Mar 26, 1:39 PMNov 24, 11:59 PM

70.48%chance

362949

OptionVotes

YES

1143

887

Will NATO deploy nuclear weapons to Poland before 2025?

Jul 1, 3:43 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

14.33%chance

301179

OptionVotes

YES

1526

869

Will North Korea collapse before the end of 2030?

Dec 28, 1:01 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

18.62%chance

20914

OptionVotes

YES

1060

954

Will Stability AI fold by 2028?

Mar 23, 2:17 PMJan 16, 10:59 PM

84.33%chance

14664

OptionVotes

YES

1229

920

Will pure LK-99 turn out to be significantly toxic to humans?

Jul 31, 12:00 AMJan 1, 12:13 AM

12%chance

14507

OptionVotes

YES

1384

889

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Pakistan Launches Operation Azm-e-Istehkam to Combat Terrorism, Focus on TTP
Authors
13
8 days
Pakistan
Middle East
World

Resolve for Stability News

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Prediction markets for Resolve for Stability

Prediction markets for Resolve for Stability

Assuming SB 1047 is passed, will the "compute threshold" of 10^26 flop be raised before 2030?

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

In the year 2100, will construction have begun on a lunar space elevator?

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)

Will a hurricane that strikes the United States in 2024 cause over $150 billion worth of damage?

Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?

Will Israel end the military conscription exemption for Haredi (ultra-Orthodox Jews) before the next general election?

Will NATO deploy nuclear weapons to Poland before 2025?

Will North Korea collapse before the end of 2030?

Will Stability AI fold by 2028?

Will pure LK-99 turn out to be significantly toxic to humans?

Latest stories

Top stories

Prediction markets for Resolve for Stability

Prediction markets for Resolve for Stability

Prediction markets for Resolve for Stability

Assuming SB 1047 is passed, will the "compute threshold" of 10^26 flop be raised before 2030?

Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?

In the year 2100, will construction have begun on a lunar space elevator?

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Will an isotope of an element with atomic number > 113 be observed to have a half life >= 1 minute ? (By EoY 2050)