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Real Debate News
Prediction markets for Real Debate
Prediction markets for Real Debate
Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?
Jun 6, 10:21 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
35.99%
chance
24
919
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1065
938
Will Argentina's poverty level drop below 15% by 2030?
Dec 25, 11:21 AM
Jun 1, 9:59 PM
56.92%
chance
34
1214
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1083
922
Will the overall claim that low flow showers cause more net water use hold up thru mid 2026?
Mar 9, 12:45 AM
Jul 1, 6:59 AM
51.7%
chance
30
755
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1056
933
Will Javier Milei still be president of Argentina one year after assuming the country's presidency on 10/12/2024?
Dec 26, 7:59 PM
Dec 11, 2:59 AM
83.98%
chance
10
500
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1096
963
Will Rafał Zaorski complete his Epic Flip?
Jan 14, 11:37 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
40.98%
chance
1
10
Option
Votes
YES
NO
60
42
Will the 2024 Republican and Democratic Presidential nominees participate in a debate together before November 5, 2024?
Aug 22, 5:53 PM
Nov 5, 6:39 PM
94.41%
chance
8
1319
Option
Votes
NO
YES
542
53
Will anyone sign a secured bet regarding UFOs or non-human intelligence before the end of 2024?
Dec 30, 6:28 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25.28%
chance
2
51
Option
Votes
YES
NO
106
49
Will the United States pass a federal wealth tax before January 1st, 2030?
Mar 19, 4:15 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
21.82%
chance
8
136
Option
Votes
YES
NO
226
167
Will a Deep fake video or picture be used to influence the 2024 president election
Jan 25, 4:30 PM
Nov 6, 10:59 PM
54.64%
chance
8
124
Option
Votes
NO
YES
147
147
How bad is it to resolve a market as N/A?
Feb 3, 4:26 AM
37
0
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