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R21 News
Prediction markets for R21
Prediction markets for R21
What will be the lowest cost per dose observed for the R21 malaria vaccine before January 1st, 2026? (currently $3.90)
Mar 15, 9:33 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
6
731
Will Givewell recommend a charity distributing the New Malaria Vaccine "R21 Matrix M"?
Jun 10, 11:39 AM
Sep 10, 9:59 PM
39.35%
chance
4
62
Option
Votes
YES
NO
124
81
When will the first dose of the R21 malaria vaccine be delivered to a patient in Africa outside of a clinical trial?
Mar 15, 9:00 PM
Aug 2, 6:59 AM
7
113
How many people will be vaccinated with the R21 vaccine in 2024
Jan 15, 10:13 AM
Jan 22, 3:59 PM
3
247
Will the number of children vaccinated with 3 doses of the R21 malaria vaccine reach 5M before January 1st, 2025?
Mar 15, 9:04 PM
Jul 2, 6:59 AM
48%
chance
8
66
Option
Votes
YES
NO
317
313
Will it be confirmed that >2M doses of the R21 malaria vaccine are delivered in a single month before January 1st, 2025?
Mar 15, 9:02 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
36.78%
chance
6
83
Option
Votes
YES
NO
328
235
Will the R21 malaria vaccine be distributed in 15 countries before July 1st, 2025?
Mar 15, 9:12 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
46.12%
chance
6
51
Option
Votes
YES
NO
300
290
What total number of R21 malaria vaccine doses will be distributed in 2024?
Mar 15, 9:11 PM
Jul 2, 6:59 AM
3
582
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 24 months?
Mar 15, 9:17 PM
Sep 2, 6:59 AM
7
493
What will the phase 3 clinical trial results report for vaccine efficacy (%) of the R21 malaria vaccine at 48 months?
Mar 15, 9:29 PM
Sep 2, 6:59 AM
8
962
Will Givewell update its Article on Malaria Vaccines soon?
Jun 9, 12:06 PM
Jul 31, 9:59 PM
32.61%
chance
4
72
Option
Votes
YES
NO
144
70
Articles
Latest stories
RTS,S Vaccine Launch, WHO's 50th Immunization Anniversary Mark Malaria Fight
Authors
12
2 months
Africa
World
Vaccines Save Over 50 Million Lives in Africa, WHO Urges Action on Malaria Resistance, UNICEF Reports
Authors
6
2 months
Africa
World
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