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Prediction markets for Quick Settings
Prediction markets for Quick Settings
Will good quality personalised AI novels be instantly and cheaply available by the end of 2027?
Jun 27, 3:49 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
39.04%
chance
127
26724
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1901
992
Will I manage to squat 3 plates this year?
Jan 18, 8:34 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
65.12%
chance
47
33590
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1555
1483
In what year will quantum advantage be demonstrated for practical quantum chemistry problems? (before 2030)
Jul 28, 1:21 PM
Jan 1, 2:08 PM
70.85%
chance
14
624
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1543
892
Will a program or person exist that finds/draws arbitrary 5 letter words by zooming into the mandelbrot set by Jan 2025?
Sep 30, 4:40 PM
Jan 21, 4:59 AM
20.63%
chance
18
843
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1207
927
Will Bitcoin mempool clear by the end of 2024?
Aug 12, 6:59 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
13%
chance
12
446
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1260
842
Will AI writers replace all jobs for human writers by the end of 2025?
Jan 14, 2:16 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2.5%
chance
30
6121
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3268
837
What will be the first neutron star radius measured, in km?
Jul 14, 7:07 PM
Jul 2, 5:59 AM
39.5%
chance
5
56
Option
Votes
YES
NO
265
222
Better titles for the existing four episodes of the Market Manipulation Podcast!
Aug 6, 12:20 AM
Aug 6, 6:59 AM
0
0
Help Al Quinn find good movies (because nearly everything is terrible) 12K Mana Bounty!
Mar 9, 8:51 PM
0
0
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