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Prediction markets for Qi
Prediction markets for Qi
Who will be the next paramount leader of China?
Mar 2, 5:54 PM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
10
184
Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?
Feb 15, 12:23 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
25
5166
[Old] Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?
Oct 14, 3:44 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
7
176
Will @QiaochuYuan consider qualia a coherent concept by 2024
Jun 26, 12:20 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
43.68%
chance
10
234
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1006
988
Will Qiaochu Yuan and AellaGirl have sex?
Jan 7, 9:11 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
8.79%
chance
13
503
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1359
923
Fanfic of dante Divine comedy featuring aellagirl, Alex Zhu, repligate, qiaochu yuan, yacine, and basedbeffjezos by 2028
Jun 11, 5:41 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Will AellaGirl breastfeed Qiaochu Yuan in 2024?
Jan 3, 6:53 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
19.45%
chance
4
149
Option
Votes
YES
NO
135
66
Will janus/repligate, Alex Zhu,gaspode,gwern, JDP, qiaochu, adic_9 all be written into final fantasy game/fanfic by 2029
Jun 11, 7:54 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Will AI be used to help create a "Life is Strange" video centered on Qiaochu Yuan's life by 2028?
Aug 10, 11:05 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
50
50
Will Li Qiang be replaced as Chinese Premier by The Two Session meetings in 2025?
Mar 9, 8:19 PM
Mar 10, 3:59 AM
18%
chance
4
220
Option
Votes
YES
NO
260
84
Will Qiaochu Yuan get a job for a period of time lasting more than 4 months by 2030?
Apr 29, 2:16 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
65.75%
chance
3
40
Option
Votes
NO
YES
130
96
Is Qin Gang alive as of 12/6/2023?
Dec 6, 10:56 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
87.18%
chance
5
184
Option
Votes
NO
YES
246
58
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Authors
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3 months
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