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Publisher of the Year News
Prediction markets for Publisher of the Year
Prediction markets for Publisher of the Year
Will Dunkey's publishing company, BIGMODE, still exist as an independent publisher by the end of the following years?
Mar 21, 10:25 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
8
220
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2030?
Feb 4, 8:20 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
5
322
Which paper published in 2024 will Manifold consider to be the most important paper of the year when polled in 2025?
Feb 4, 8:17 AM
Jan 1, 1:55 PM
9
588
ManiTube Algorithm Reversal: what will be true of the next video YouTube recommends?
May 15, 4:30 PM
Feb 9, 5:24 AM
2
152
In which year will Nassim Nicholas Taleb publish his next book
Jun 15, 4:05 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
2
7725
If OpenAI makes a transformer sized advancement in the next 5 years, will they publish an accompanying paper?
Nov 29, 12:12 AM
Dec 6, 7:59 AM
43.88%
chance
18
788
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1091
915
Will a book on Jimmy Carter's last year of life be published by 2029
Jun 23, 5:08 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
50%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Will a gatekeeper proof of concept be at least informally published by mid year 2025? [ARIA Safeguarded Programme]
May 6, 10:51 PM
Jul 2, 5:59 AM
75%
chance
2
79
Option
Votes
NO
YES
173
58
What blog posts will I publish in the next year?
Nov 13, 6:17 AM
Nov 13, 4:59 PM
4
490
Will OpenAI pay scientific publishers for content by EOY 2025?
Jun 11, 4:41 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
52.36%
chance
187
28883
Option
Votes
YES
NO
13592
6663
Will YouTuber 'Whatifalthist's prediction of a new US civil war be covered by major US news media outlets by July 14?
Mar 21, 11:45 AM
Jul 15, 4:59 AM
4.64%
chance
27
55235
Option
Votes
YES
NO
74476
15605
Will there be a song created by an AI system in the year-end top 100 Billboards chart by 2026?
Feb 3, 2:59 PM
Dec 31, 10:00 AM
63.47%
chance
246
30273
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4514
4273
Articles
Latest stories
Charli XCX Releases '360', Confirms Spears Rumors, Universal Wins at ASCAP
Authors
10
2 months
Culture
Olivia Rodrigo, Daniel Nigro Win Songwriters of the Year at 2024 ASCAP Pop Awards
Authors
5
2 months
Culture
Capcom Named Publisher of the Year in Metacritic's 2024 Rankings, Thanks to Agents, Fighters, Hunters, Arisen
Authors
6
3 months
Culture
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