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Prospect of the Year News
Prediction markets for Prospect of the Year
Prediction markets for Prospect of the Year
How do you believe the AI tools will impact your career prospects in the next ten years?
Jan 13, 6:27 PM
29
0
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
26.88%
chance
16
1520
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1243
874
Will AI writers replace all jobs for human writers by the end of 2025?
Jan 14, 2:16 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
2.5%
chance
30
6121
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3268
837
What will be the total human population in 2030?
Jun 18, 6:25 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
99.37%
chance
10
379
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1294
997
How many people will I kiss in 2024?
Jan 2, 4:19 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
15
1225
If I move to D.C., will I find someone to seriously date within 6 months?
Oct 10, 5:11 PM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
42.07%
chance
7
166
Option
Votes
YES
NO
479
478
Will creditors repossess X / Twitter from Elon Musk and other current shareholders before January 1, 2025?
Oct 6, 12:17 AM
Jan 2, 4:59 AM
9.37%
chance
9
660
Option
Votes
YES
NO
487
147
When will we be able to reversibly preserve isolated primate brains at least 50 yrs with function and memories intact?
Jan 9, 8:36 PM
Jun 2, 6:59 AM
3
297
How many BRICS partner countries will be announced at the 2024 Head of State Summit?
Aug 26, 5:29 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
3
163
What will be the total human population in 2040?
Jun 18, 6:38 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
96.72%
chance
1
65
Option
Votes
NO
YES
335
268
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