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Promotion of the Year News
Prediction markets for Promotion of the Year
Prediction markets for Promotion of the Year
Will I promote to Masters this year?
Mar 4, 11:00 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
48.74%
chance
4
92
Option
Votes
YES
NO
165
154
Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:05 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
33.42%
chance
16
2892
Option
Votes
YES
NO
7416
3786
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
34.29%
chance
11
1709
Option
Votes
YES
NO
4632
4000
Will Unreal Engine gain official WebGPU export support before Jan 1st 2027?
Jul 2, 7:12 PM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
66%
chance
10
361
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1059
954
2030 – 1. Nvidia’s market capitalization will be meaningfully lower + Intel’s will be meaningfully higher, than today
Mar 11, 12:04 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
26.88%
chance
16
1520
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1243
874
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PM
Dec 18, 2:59 PM
62.07%
chance
17
243
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1139
891
Will OpenAI change their name before January 1st, 2025?
Mar 16, 4:08 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
8.35%
chance
14
703
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1435
914
What basho will be the first to feature a new Yokozuna? (Grand Sumo Tournament)
Sep 22, 6:50 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
3
920
Will Oregon's 2023 metal container return rate be higher or lower than 2022?
Feb 26, 5:43 AM
Aug 1, 6:59 AM
2
30
What will Oregon's 2023 plastic bottle return rate be?
Feb 26, 8:23 PM
Aug 1, 6:59 AM
7
130
In which year will the next yokozuna first appear on the banzuke for a basho? (Sumo)
Sep 22, 7:01 AM
Jan 2, 5:59 AM
4
509
Will at least one new hair loss treatment which is more effective than existing treatments become approved by the FDA and publicly available by 2025?
Feb 27, 9:21 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
9%
chance
10
764
Option
Votes
YES
NO
458
56
Articles
Latest stories
WON 2023: WWE Leads, Crown Jewel Worst Show, Nick Khan & Triple H Win Big
Authors
4
4 months
Israel
UFC
World
WWE NXT Viewership Drops to 616K on Feb 20th, AEW Dynamite at 828K; WWE Wins Promotion of the Year
Authors
5
4 months
UFC
Sports
ESPN Wins MMA Media Source of the Year at 2023 World MMA Awards, Ariel Helwani Named Journalist of the Year, UFC Clinches Promotion of the Year
Authors
5
7 months
UFC
Sports
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