Precision News

UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win? (Precise)

May 22, 4:25 PMJul 4, 8:59 PM

8035046

Will there be a widely accepted precise definition of mesaoptimizer by 2026?

Oct 22, 7:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

26.33%chance

30928

OptionVotes

YES

1523

1252

Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

44.05%chance

18918

OptionVotes

YES

1029

951

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <1000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

May 19, 7:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

47.87%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

1044

958

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

May 19, 7:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

43.89%chance

3135

OptionVotes

YES

1131

884

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <100 neuron precision by 2030 ?

May 19, 6:48 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.65%chance

14795

OptionVotes

YES

1578

634

Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Apr 2, 9:54 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

39%chance

11220

OptionVotes

YES

1009

980

Will there be a humanoid robot that can move with human-like precision and flexibility before April of 2028?

Mar 14, 6:18 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

35.61%chance

382595

OptionVotes

YES

1013

954

Will we know precisely why Andrej Karpathy left OpenAI by EOY 2024?

Feb 14, 2:36 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

22.96%chance

25812

OptionVotes

YES

1321

820

Will atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?

Apr 2, 9:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

13.85%chance

16849

OptionVotes

YES

1336

904

Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?

Apr 2, 10:01 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

12.82%chance

15314

OptionVotes

YES

1117

959

MSCI USA performance in 2024? [precision: ones]

Jan 11, 6:04 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

576

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Precision News

Prediction markets for Precision

Prediction markets for Precision

Prediction markets for Precision

UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win? (Precise)

Will there be a widely accepted precise definition of mesaoptimizer by 2026?

Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <1000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <100 neuron precision by 2030 ?

Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Will there be a humanoid robot that can move with human-like precision and flexibility before April of 2028?

Will we know precisely why Andrej Karpathy left OpenAI by EOY 2024?

Will atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?

Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2030?

MSCI USA performance in 2024? [precision: ones]

Latest stories

Prediction markets for Precision

Prediction markets for Precision

Prediction markets for Precision

UK General Election: How many seats will the Labour Party win? (Precise)

Will there be a widely accepted precise definition of mesaoptimizer by 2026?

Will consequential atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <1000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <10 000 neuron precision by 2030 ?

Will we see non-invasive holographic brain-computer interfaces with <100 neuron precision by 2030 ?

Will complex atomically precise manufacturing systems be developed before 2040?