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Power Six News
Prediction markets for Power Six
Prediction markets for Power Six
If Vladimir Putin loses power before the end of 2024, will Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within six months?
Jun 12, 8:09 PM
Jun 30, 9:01 PM
55.64%
chance
1
6
Option
Votes
NO
YES
76
65
Will a program or person exist that finds/draws arbitrary 5 letter words by zooming into the mandelbrot set by Jan 2025?
Sep 30, 4:40 PM
Jan 21, 4:59 AM
20.63%
chance
18
843
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1207
927
If Vladimir Putin loses power before the end of 2024, will Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within a year?
Jun 12, 8:10 PM
Dec 31, 9:01 PM
58.17%
chance
12
254
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1031
972
Tennis-like sport played on another planet or in space by end 2036
Oct 8, 6:25 AM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
45.15%
chance
13
328
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1031
945
Will the cause of the Iranian helicopter crash containing the president be revealed to be sabotage?
May 19, 3:22 PM
Oct 20, 6:59 AM
7.71%
chance
80
12480
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3461
289
Will Andrés Manuel López Obrador be the de facto head of government of Mexico on July 1st, 2025?
Mar 7, 1:49 AM
Jul 1, 1:59 PM
8.01%
chance
11
2314
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1311
929
Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]
Dec 22, 8:25 AM
Jan 2, 6:59 AM
51%
chance
7
59
Option
Votes
YES
NO
156
143
If Vladimir Putin loses power before the end of 2024, will Aleksander Lukashenko lose power within a month?
Jun 12, 8:06 PM
Jan 31, 9:01 PM
45.25%
chance
1
5
Option
Votes
YES
NO
75
65
Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2100?
Mar 24, 3:56 PM
Jan 1, 5:00 AM
19%
chance
10
251
Option
Votes
YES
NO
269
154
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Authors
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5 months
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Authors
17
7 months
NCAA
Sports
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