PoS News

This insane Toast point of sale (POS) touchpad receipt dialogue design gets fixed by mid 2025

Dec 2, 2:31 PMJul 1, 4:59 AM

30.73%chance

489

OptionVotes

YES

498

364

Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?

Nov 20, 3:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

35.18%chance

8412035

OptionVotes

YES

1868

515

What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?

Jun 20, 9:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

239236

Will 2024 prove to be a pivotal year for Cold War 2 as posited by Noah Smith?

Mar 20, 8:28 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

25.21%chance

191082

OptionVotes

YES

13210

12847

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

Jun 14, 1:40 AMDec 1, 5:59 AM

35.2%chance

5851

OptionVotes

YES

10357

9737

Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?

Jan 3, 4:09 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.65%chance

12695431

OptionVotes

YES

6280

1307

This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030

Apr 8, 4:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

97%chance

149559419

OptionVotes

YES

7159

1294

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.59%chance

124930

OptionVotes

YES

5204

3441

Will a posthumous deathbed UFO confession from Jimmy Carter be revealed within a year of his passing?

Aug 2, 3:04 AMAug 4, 3:59 AM

6.29%chance

181011

OptionVotes

YES

1687

887

If Elon Musk does something as a result of his AI angst by 2025, will Eliezer Yudkowsky judge it to be a positive or neutral initiative (as opposed to negative)?

Feb 26, 6:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.65%chance

16762246

OptionVotes

YES

6748

3868

Will a Masters ranked user post a video of themselves hitting the griddy before Trump announces his running mate?

Feb 18, 3:48 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

43.69%chance

143642

OptionVotes

YES

6390

2461

How will Biden's first post-debate interview on ABC go relative to concerns about his age and mental status?

Jul 3, 8:18 PMJul 11, 6:59 AM

7327096

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PoS News

Prediction markets for PoS

Prediction markets for PoS

Prediction markets for PoS

This insane Toast point of sale (POS) touchpad receipt dialogue design gets fixed by mid 2025

Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?

What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?

Will 2024 prove to be a pivotal year for Cold War 2 as posited by Noah Smith?

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?

This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030

Will GiveWell fund Post-discharge malaria chemoprevention (PMC) for children with severe anemia by 1st January 2027?

Will a posthumous deathbed UFO confession from Jimmy Carter be revealed within a year of his passing?

If Elon Musk does something as a result of his AI angst by 2025, will Eliezer Yudkowsky judge it to be a positive or neutral initiative (as opposed to negative)?

Will a Masters ranked user post a video of themselves hitting the griddy before Trump announces his running mate?

How will Biden's first post-debate interview on ABC go relative to concerns about his age and mental status?

Latest stories

Prediction markets for PoS

Prediction markets for PoS

Prediction markets for PoS

This insane Toast point of sale (POS) touchpad receipt dialogue design gets fixed by mid 2025

Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?

What will the single largest post-pivot trade on Manifold be in 2024?

Will 2024 prove to be a pivotal year for Cold War 2 as posited by Noah Smith?

Will it be possible to create a human embryo through an API by 2050?

Will the "Possible Meissner effect near room temperature" paper by Hongyang Wang be replicated before the end of 2024?

This question will resolve positively on the 1st of January, 2030